Official National Weather Service forecasts for downtown Los Angeles project a Tuesday high near 76°F, driven by a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore flow that limits daytime heating along the coast. Ensemble guidance shows strong agreement on this range, with minimal inland warming expected to reach the official measurement site before sea breezes strengthen. This aligns with the market's heaviest positioning at 76-77°F, reflecting traders' assessment of typical mid-July coastal suppression versus warmer historical baselines near 83°F. An extreme heat watch covers inland valleys, but marine influences and forecast model consensus keep probabilities concentrated in the mid-70s for the city proper, with final NWS updates expected overnight.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Los Angeles il 14 luglio?
74-75°F 56%
76-77°F 36%
78-79°F 7%
80-81°F 2.0%
$26,339 Vol.
$26,339 Vol.
67°F o meno
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
56%
76-77°F
36%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F o superiore
<1%
74-75°F 56%
76-77°F 36%
78-79°F 7%
80-81°F 2.0%
$26,339 Vol.
$26,339 Vol.
67°F o meno
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
56%
76-77°F
36%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts for downtown Los Angeles project a Tuesday high near 76°F, driven by a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore flow that limits daytime heating along the coast. Ensemble guidance shows strong agreement on this range, with minimal inland warming expected to reach the official measurement site before sea breezes strengthen. This aligns with the market's heaviest positioning at 76-77°F, reflecting traders' assessment of typical mid-July coastal suppression versus warmer historical baselines near 83°F. An extreme heat watch covers inland valleys, but marine influences and forecast model consensus keep probabilities concentrated in the mid-70s for the city proper, with final NWS updates expected overnight.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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