Recent forecasts for Lucknow on August 31 show scattered monsoon-driven cloud cover and thunderstorm chances moderating daytime highs, driving the close clustering of market-implied odds around 30–32°C. Official India Meteorological Department guidance projects a maximum of 34°C under mainly clear skies with strong surface winds, while shorter-range models like those reflected in WeatherBug indicate 31°C amid 70% storm probability and high humidity near 80%. Persistent moisture from Bay of Bengal systems, typical for late August in the Indo-Gangetic plain, limits insolation and promotes evaporative cooling, creating uncertainty between clearer intervals that could push toward 33–34°C and widespread convective activity favoring the lower range. Updated IMD briefings and afternoon model runs will likely refine the resolution threshold before market close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Lucknow il 31 agosto?
30°C 24%
31°C 23%
32°C 22%
34°C or higher 11%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
9%
30°C
20%
31°C
27%
32°C
22%
33°C
11%
34°C or higher
11%
30°C 24%
31°C 23%
32°C 22%
34°C or higher 11%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
9%
30°C
20%
31°C
27%
32°C
22%
33°C
11%
34°C or higher
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Lucknow on August 31 show scattered monsoon-driven cloud cover and thunderstorm chances moderating daytime highs, driving the close clustering of market-implied odds around 30–32°C. Official India Meteorological Department guidance projects a maximum of 34°C under mainly clear skies with strong surface winds, while shorter-range models like those reflected in WeatherBug indicate 31°C amid 70% storm probability and high humidity near 80%. Persistent moisture from Bay of Bengal systems, typical for late August in the Indo-Gangetic plain, limits insolation and promotes evaporative cooling, creating uncertainty between clearer intervals that could push toward 33–34°C and widespread convective activity favoring the lower range. Updated IMD briefings and afternoon model runs will likely refine the resolution threshold before market close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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