The market's tight split between 30°C (34.5%) and 31°C (43.5%) reflects the Southwest Monsoon’s influence on Metro Manila, where persistent cloud cover, scattered afternoon thunderstorms, and moderate winds from PAGASA forecasts are expected to limit peak heating on August 13. Official outlooks show daytime maxima near 30–33°C with 30% rain chances, consistent with typical August climatology of 31°C highs under habagat conditions that suppress insolation and enhance evaporative cooling. Recent model consensus and observed maxima around 30°C support this narrow range, while lighter rain scenarios or brief clearing could allow brief spikes to 31–32°C; stronger monsoon pulses would favor the lower end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Manila il 13 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Manila il 13 agosto?
31°C 44%
30°C 35%
29°C 10%
32°C 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 ago 2026
25°C o inferiore
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
10%
30°C
35%
31°C
44%
32°C
8%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C o superiore
<1%
31°C 44%
30°C 35%
29°C 10%
32°C 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 ago 2026
25°C o inferiore
$267 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$386 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$258 Vol.
1%
28°C
$380 Vol.
3%
29°C
$1,179 Vol.
10%
30°C
$750 Vol.
35%
31°C
$1,117 Vol.
44%
32°C
$837 Vol.
8%
33°C
$1,137 Vol.
2%
34°C
$323 Vol.
1%
35°C o superiore
$341 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's tight split between 30°C (34.5%) and 31°C (43.5%) reflects the Southwest Monsoon’s influence on Metro Manila, where persistent cloud cover, scattered afternoon thunderstorms, and moderate winds from PAGASA forecasts are expected to limit peak heating on August 13. Official outlooks show daytime maxima near 30–33°C with 30% rain chances, consistent with typical August climatology of 31°C highs under habagat conditions that suppress insolation and enhance evaporative cooling. Recent model consensus and observed maxima around 30°C support this narrow range, while lighter rain scenarios or brief clearing could allow brief spikes to 31–32°C; stronger monsoon pulses would favor the lower end.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$6,974Data di fine
13 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's tight split between 30°C (34.5%) and 31°C (43.5%) reflects the Southwest Monsoon’s influence on Metro Manila, where persistent cloud cover, scattered afternoon thunderstorms, and moderate winds from PAGASA forecasts are expected to limit peak heating on August 13. Official outlooks show daytime maxima near 30–33°C with 30% rain chances, consistent with typical August climatology of 31°C highs under habagat conditions that suppress insolation and enhance evaporative cooling. Recent model consensus and observed maxima around 30°C support this narrow range, while lighter rain scenarios or brief clearing could allow brief spikes to 31–32°C; stronger monsoon pulses would favor the lower end.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,974Data di fine
13 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...The market's tight split between 30°C (34.5%) and 31°C (43.5%) reflects the Southwest Monsoon’s influence on Metro Manila, where persistent cloud cover, scattered afternoon thunderstorms, and moderate winds from PAGASA forecasts are expected to limit peak heating on August 13. Official outlooks show daytime maxima near 30–33°C with 30% rain chances, consistent with typical August climatology of 31°C highs under habagat conditions that suppress insolation and enhance evaporative cooling. Recent model consensus and observed maxima around 30°C support this narrow range, while lighter rain scenarios or brief clearing could allow brief spikes to 31–32°C; stronger monsoon pulses would favor the lower end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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