Current forecast consensus from ECMWF and Italian Meteorological Service ensembles positions 34–36°C as the dominant range for Milan’s August 13 maximum, with 35°C holding the highest implied probability at 51.5%. A persistent anticyclonic ridge over northern Italy has sustained clear skies and light easterly flow, promoting strong daytime surface heating well above the long-term August average of roughly 29–30°C. Minor model spread arises mainly from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing depth and urban heat-island amplification within the city center, keeping the 34°C and 36°C bins at 24% and 17% respectively. Extreme outcomes remain discounted given the tight short-range ensemble agreement, though fresh model runs through the next 48 hours could refine the exact peak before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Milano il 13 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Milano il 13 agosto?
35°C 52%
34°C 24%
36°C 18%
37°C 3%
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 ago 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
3%
34°C
24%
35°C
52%
36°C
18%
37°C
3%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
35°C 52%
34°C 24%
36°C 18%
37°C 3%
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 ago 2026
29°C or below
$356 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$513 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$345 Vol.
1%
32°C
$428 Vol.
2%
33°C
$809 Vol.
3%
34°C
$1,109 Vol.
24%
35°C
$1,998 Vol.
52%
36°C
$968 Vol.
18%
37°C
$430 Vol.
3%
38°C
$586 Vol.
1%
39°C or higher
$281 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from ECMWF and Italian Meteorological Service ensembles positions 34–36°C as the dominant range for Milan’s August 13 maximum, with 35°C holding the highest implied probability at 51.5%. A persistent anticyclonic ridge over northern Italy has sustained clear skies and light easterly flow, promoting strong daytime surface heating well above the long-term August average of roughly 29–30°C. Minor model spread arises mainly from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing depth and urban heat-island amplification within the city center, keeping the 34°C and 36°C bins at 24% and 17% respectively. Extreme outcomes remain discounted given the tight short-range ensemble agreement, though fresh model runs through the next 48 hours could refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$7,824Data di fine
13 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from ECMWF and Italian Meteorological Service ensembles positions 34–36°C as the dominant range for Milan’s August 13 maximum, with 35°C holding the highest implied probability at 51.5%. A persistent anticyclonic ridge over northern Italy has sustained clear skies and light easterly flow, promoting strong daytime surface heating well above the long-term August average of roughly 29–30°C. Minor model spread arises mainly from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing depth and urban heat-island amplification within the city center, keeping the 34°C and 36°C bins at 24% and 17% respectively. Extreme outcomes remain discounted given the tight short-range ensemble agreement, though fresh model runs through the next 48 hours could refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,824Data di fine
13 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from ECMWF and Italian Meteorological Service ensembles positions 34–36°C as the dominant range for Milan’s August 13 maximum, with 35°C holding the highest implied probability at 51.5%. A persistent anticyclonic ridge over northern Italy has sustained clear skies and light easterly flow, promoting strong daytime surface heating well above the long-term August average of roughly 29–30°C. Minor model spread arises mainly from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing depth and urban heat-island amplification within the city center, keeping the 34°C and 36°C bins at 24% and 17% respectively. Extreme outcomes remain discounted given the tight short-range ensemble agreement, though fresh model runs through the next 48 hours could refine the exact peak before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti