Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service cluster Munich’s August 13 maximum near 29–31 °C under a persistent high-pressure regime featuring limited cloud cover, light easterly winds, and strong daytime insolation that favors peak surface heating. This setup explains the market’s strong tilt toward 31 °C (54.5 %) over 30 °C (30.0 %), with smaller probabilities on 32 °C (12.5 %) and 29 °C (5.0 %) reflecting residual spread in boundary-layer moisture and the precise timing of any weak frontal influence. Updated ICON and ECMWF runs expected within the next 24 hours will further constrain the surface energy balance before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Monaco di Baviera il 13 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Monaco di Baviera il 13 agosto?
31°C 55%
30°C 30%
32°C 13%
29°C 5%
NUOVO
$13,260 Vol.
NUOVO
$13,260 Vol.
13 ago 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
5%
30°C
30%
31°C
55%
32°C
13%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
1%
31°C 55%
30°C 30%
32°C 13%
29°C 5%
NUOVO
$13,260 Vol.
NUOVO
$13,260 Vol.
13 ago 2026
24°C or below
$278 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$263 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$851 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$581 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$695 Vol.
2%
29°C
$1,289 Vol.
5%
30°C
$2,778 Vol.
30%
31°C
$2,674 Vol.
55%
32°C
$2,176 Vol.
13%
33°C
$818 Vol.
1%
34°C or higher
$858 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service cluster Munich’s August 13 maximum near 29–31 °C under a persistent high-pressure regime featuring limited cloud cover, light easterly winds, and strong daytime insolation that favors peak surface heating. This setup explains the market’s strong tilt toward 31 °C (54.5 %) over 30 °C (30.0 %), with smaller probabilities on 32 °C (12.5 %) and 29 °C (5.0 %) reflecting residual spread in boundary-layer moisture and the precise timing of any weak frontal influence. Updated ICON and ECMWF runs expected within the next 24 hours will further constrain the surface energy balance before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$13,260Data di fine
13 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service cluster Munich’s August 13 maximum near 29–31 °C under a persistent high-pressure regime featuring limited cloud cover, light easterly winds, and strong daytime insolation that favors peak surface heating. This setup explains the market’s strong tilt toward 31 °C (54.5 %) over 30 °C (30.0 %), with smaller probabilities on 32 °C (12.5 %) and 29 °C (5.0 %) reflecting residual spread in boundary-layer moisture and the precise timing of any weak frontal influence. Updated ICON and ECMWF runs expected within the next 24 hours will further constrain the surface energy balance before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,260Data di fine
13 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service cluster Munich’s August 13 maximum near 29–31 °C under a persistent high-pressure regime featuring limited cloud cover, light easterly winds, and strong daytime insolation that favors peak surface heating. This setup explains the market’s strong tilt toward 31 °C (54.5 %) over 30 °C (30.0 %), with smaller probabilities on 32 °C (12.5 %) and 29 °C (5.0 %) reflecting residual spread in boundary-layer moisture and the precise timing of any weak frontal influence. Updated ICON and ECMWF runs expected within the next 24 hours will further constrain the surface energy balance before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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