Paris faces an intense July 2026 heatwave driven by persistent high pressure and southerly advection of warm air masses, pushing official Météo-France guidance toward afternoon maxima in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius for July 15. Ensemble model spreads from ECMWF and others create genuine uncertainty around exact peak values, with small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or timing of any weak frontal passage able to shift the daily high by 1–2°C. This forecast variability, set against historical July extremes rarely exceeding 35°C in central Paris, supports the tightly bunched market-implied odds across the 30–34°C brackets as traders weigh the latest high-resolution runs and urban heat-island amplification.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Parigi il 15 luglio?
La temperatura più alta di Parigi il 15 luglio?
32°C 40%
33°C 32%
31°C 17%
34°C 6%
NUOVO
$12,509 Vol.
NUOVO
$12,509 Vol.
15 lug 2026
30°C or below
5%
31°C
17%
32°C
40%
33°C
32%
34°C
6%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
32°C 40%
33°C 32%
31°C 17%
34°C 6%
NUOVO
$12,509 Vol.
NUOVO
$12,509 Vol.
15 lug 2026
30°C or below
$1,340 Vol.
5%
31°C
$4,989 Vol.
17%
32°C
$1,398 Vol.
40%
33°C
$1,482 Vol.
32%
34°C
$680 Vol.
6%
35°C
$504 Vol.
2%
36°C
$471 Vol.
1%
37°C
$743 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$377 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$271 Vol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$256 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Paris faces an intense July 2026 heatwave driven by persistent high pressure and southerly advection of warm air masses, pushing official Météo-France guidance toward afternoon maxima in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius for July 15. Ensemble model spreads from ECMWF and others create genuine uncertainty around exact peak values, with small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or timing of any weak frontal passage able to shift the daily high by 1–2°C. This forecast variability, set against historical July extremes rarely exceeding 35°C in central Paris, supports the tightly bunched market-implied odds across the 30–34°C brackets as traders weigh the latest high-resolution runs and urban heat-island amplification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 13, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$12,509Data di fine
15 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 13, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Paris faces an intense July 2026 heatwave driven by persistent high pressure and southerly advection of warm air masses, pushing official Météo-France guidance toward afternoon maxima in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius for July 15. Ensemble model spreads from ECMWF and others create genuine uncertainty around exact peak values, with small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or timing of any weak frontal passage able to shift the daily high by 1–2°C. This forecast variability, set against historical July extremes rarely exceeding 35°C in central Paris, supports the tightly bunched market-implied odds across the 30–34°C brackets as traders weigh the latest high-resolution runs and urban heat-island amplification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,509Data di fine
15 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 13, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Paris faces an intense July 2026 heatwave driven by persistent high pressure and southerly advection of warm air masses, pushing official Météo-France guidance toward afternoon maxima in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius for July 15. Ensemble model spreads from ECMWF and others create genuine uncertainty around exact peak values, with small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or timing of any weak frontal passage able to shift the daily high by 1–2°C. This forecast variability, set against historical July extremes rarely exceeding 35°C in central Paris, supports the tightly bunched market-implied odds across the 30–34°C brackets as traders weigh the latest high-resolution runs and urban heat-island amplification.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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