**Recent influx of cooler maritime air and extensive cloud cover from a passing frontal system are suppressing daytime heating in São Paulo on August 24, 2026, keeping the highest temperature tightly clustered around 19–21°C.** Southeasterly winds and high humidity favor persistent low-to-mid-level cloudiness, limiting solar insolation and reducing the diurnal temperature range compared with the warmer, clearer conditions earlier in the month. Official guidance from agencies such as the Centro de Gerenciamento de Emergências Climáticas and global models (ECMWF, GFS ensembles) consistently shows afternoon maxima near 18–21°C, with light drizzle or garoa possible that further caps peaks. Trader-implied probabilities—peaking at 20°C (27.5 %) followed closely by 21 °C and 19 °C—reflect this narrow uncertainty band, as small differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer moisture can shift the exact maximum by 1–2 °C. Historical climatology places late-August highs near 23 °C, but the current synoptic pattern favors values well below that baseline, concentrating market sentiment in the narrow 19–21 °C window until final observations confirm the peak.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a San Paolo il 24 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a San Paolo il 24 agosto?
20°C 28%
21°C 22%
19°C 20%
22°C 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
24 ago 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
11%
19°C
20%
20°C
28%
21°C
22%
22°C
13%
23°C
6%
24°C
3%
25°C or higher
1%
20°C 28%
21°C 22%
19°C 20%
22°C 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
24 ago 2026
15°C or below
$38 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$43 Vol.
1%
17°C
$170 Vol.
4%
18°C
$486 Vol.
11%
19°C
$1,369 Vol.
20%
20°C
$477 Vol.
28%
21°C
$307 Vol.
22%
22°C
$601 Vol.
13%
23°C
$277 Vol.
6%
24°C
$260 Vol.
3%
25°C or higher
$53 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent influx of cooler maritime air and extensive cloud cover from a passing frontal system are suppressing daytime heating in São Paulo on August 24, 2026, keeping the highest temperature tightly clustered around 19–21°C.**
Southeasterly winds and high humidity favor persistent low-to-mid-level cloudiness, limiting solar insolation and reducing the diurnal temperature range compared with the warmer, clearer conditions earlier in the month. Official guidance from agencies such as the Centro de Gerenciamento de Emergências Climáticas and global models (ECMWF, GFS ensembles) consistently shows afternoon maxima near 18–21°C, with light drizzle or garoa possible that further caps peaks.
Trader-implied probabilities—peaking at 20°C (27.5 %) followed closely by 21 °C and 19 °C—reflect this narrow uncertainty band, as small differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer moisture can shift the exact maximum by 1–2 °C. Historical climatology places late-August highs near 23 °C, but the current synoptic pattern favors values well below that baseline, concentrating market sentiment in the narrow 19–21 °C window until final observations confirm the peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 22, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Volume
$4,082Data di fine
24 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 22, 2026, 8:55 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent influx of cooler maritime air and extensive cloud cover from a passing frontal system are suppressing daytime heating in São Paulo on August 24, 2026, keeping the highest temperature tightly clustered around 19–21°C.**
Southeasterly winds and high humidity favor persistent low-to-mid-level cloudiness, limiting solar insolation and reducing the diurnal temperature range compared with the warmer, clearer conditions earlier in the month. Official guidance from agencies such as the Centro de Gerenciamento de Emergências Climáticas and global models (ECMWF, GFS ensembles) consistently shows afternoon maxima near 18–21°C, with light drizzle or garoa possible that further caps peaks.
Trader-implied probabilities—peaking at 20°C (27.5 %) followed closely by 21 °C and 19 °C—reflect this narrow uncertainty band, as small differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer moisture can shift the exact maximum by 1–2 °C. Historical climatology places late-August highs near 23 °C, but the current synoptic pattern favors values well below that baseline, concentrating market sentiment in the narrow 19–21 °C window until final observations confirm the peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,082Data di fine
24 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 22, 2026, 8:55 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent influx of cooler maritime air and extensive cloud cover from a passing frontal system are suppressing daytime heating in São Paulo on August 24, 2026, keeping the highest temperature tightly clustered around 19–21°C.** Southeasterly winds and high humidity favor persistent low-to-mid-level cloudiness, limiting solar insolation and reducing the diurnal temperature range compared with the warmer, clearer conditions earlier in the month. Official guidance from agencies such as the Centro de Gerenciamento de Emergências Climáticas and global models (ECMWF, GFS ensembles) consistently shows afternoon maxima near 18–21°C, with light drizzle or garoa possible that further caps peaks. Trader-implied probabilities—peaking at 20°C (27.5 %) followed closely by 21 °C and 19 °C—reflect this narrow uncertainty band, as small differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer moisture can shift the exact maximum by 1–2 °C. Historical climatology places late-August highs near 23 °C, but the current synoptic pattern favors values well below that baseline, concentrating market sentiment in the narrow 19–21 °C window until final observations confirm the peak.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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