Recent meteorological forecasts from MetService and other official sources project a daily maximum of 9–10°C in Wellington on August 17, 2026, under persistent southerly winds advecting cooler polar maritime air masses typical of Southern Hemisphere mid-winter. This consensus, reinforced by model runs showing limited diurnal warming amid cloud cover and occasional showers, has driven near-certain market-implied odds for the 10°C outcome. Historical August averages near 12°C provide context for the below-normal reading. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted northerly shift or clear-sky heating pushing the official measurement above 10°C, though current data and timing make such revisions unlikely before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Wellington il 17 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Wellington il 17 agosto?
10°C 100.0%
4°C or below <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$91,676 Vol.
$91,676 Vol.
17 ago 2026
4°C or below
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
Yes
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C or higher
No
10°C 100.0%
4°C or below <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$91,676 Vol.
$91,676 Vol.
17 ago 2026
4°C or below
$110 Vol.
No
5°C
$106 Vol.
No
6°C
$2,135 Vol.
No
7°C
$4,515 Vol.
No
8°C
$14,162 Vol.
No
9°C
$17,870 Vol.
No
10°C
$21,778 Vol.
Yes
11°C
$19,836 Vol.
No
12°C
$5,060 Vol.
No
13°C
$5,168 Vol.
No
14°C or higher
$938 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from MetService and other official sources project a daily maximum of 9–10°C in Wellington on August 17, 2026, under persistent southerly winds advecting cooler polar maritime air masses typical of Southern Hemisphere mid-winter. This consensus, reinforced by model runs showing limited diurnal warming amid cloud cover and occasional showers, has driven near-certain market-implied odds for the 10°C outcome. Historical August averages near 12°C provide context for the below-normal reading. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted northerly shift or clear-sky heating pushing the official measurement above 10°C, though current data and timing make such revisions unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ET
Volume
$91,676Data di fine
17 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: Yes
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: Yes
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from MetService and other official sources project a daily maximum of 9–10°C in Wellington on August 17, 2026, under persistent southerly winds advecting cooler polar maritime air masses typical of Southern Hemisphere mid-winter. This consensus, reinforced by model runs showing limited diurnal warming amid cloud cover and occasional showers, has driven near-certain market-implied odds for the 10°C outcome. Historical August averages near 12°C provide context for the below-normal reading. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted northerly shift or clear-sky heating pushing the official measurement above 10°C, though current data and timing make such revisions unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$91,676Data di fine
17 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: Yes
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: Yes
Recent meteorological forecasts from MetService and other official sources project a daily maximum of 9–10°C in Wellington on August 17, 2026, under persistent southerly winds advecting cooler polar maritime air masses typical of Southern Hemisphere mid-winter. This consensus, reinforced by model runs showing limited diurnal warming amid cloud cover and occasional showers, has driven near-certain market-implied odds for the 10°C outcome. Historical August averages near 12°C provide context for the below-normal reading. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted northerly shift or clear-sky heating pushing the official measurement above 10°C, though current data and timing make such revisions unlikely before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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