The slow rollout of the Trump Gold Card visa program, with only one approval reported as of late April 2026 despite hundreds in processing, underpins trader consensus favoring the lowest sales bracket for 2026. Launched in December 2025 with initial claims of rapid multibillion-dollar uptake, the $1 million contribution requirement for expedited residency has encountered extended background checks, legal questions over processing speed, and competition from established investor pathways such as EB-5. Administration updates highlight completed setup but note deliberate pacing to address national security concerns, while broader policy focus on tariffs and deficit reduction has not yet produced measurable acceleration in applications. These factors sustain the implied probability edge for minimal volume absent new streamlining or diplomatic outreach.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoQuante carte d'oro venderà Trump nel 2026?
Quante carte d'oro venderà Trump nel 2026?
1-100 68.5%
101-1k 18.2%
>100k 5.2%
2.5k-5k 4.1%
$235,180 Vol.
$235,180 Vol.
31 dic 2026
1-100
68%
101-1k
14%
1k-2,5k
3%
2.5k-5k
4%
5k-10k
3%
10mila-25mila
2%
25k-100k
2%
>100k
5%
1-100 68.5%
101-1k 18.2%
>100k 5.2%
2.5k-5k 4.1%
$235,180 Vol.
$235,180 Vol.
31 dic 2026
1-100
$15,602 Vol.
68%
101-1k
$8,065 Vol.
14%
1k-2,5k
$9,321 Vol.
3%
2.5k-5k
$7,931 Vol.
4%
5k-10k
$9,193 Vol.
3%
10mila-25mila
$110,794 Vol.
2%
25k-100k
$7,129 Vol.
2%
>100k
$22,719 Vol.
5%
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.The slow rollout of the Trump Gold Card visa program, with only one approval reported as of late April 2026 despite hundreds in processing, underpins trader consensus favoring the lowest sales bracket for 2026. Launched in December 2025 with initial claims of rapid multibillion-dollar uptake, the $1 million contribution requirement for expedited residency has encountered extended background checks, legal questions over processing speed, and competition from established investor pathways such as EB-5. Administration updates highlight completed setup but note deliberate pacing to address national security concerns, while broader policy focus on tariffs and deficit reduction has not yet produced measurable acceleration in applications. These factors sustain the implied probability edge for minimal volume absent new streamlining or diplomatic outreach.
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ET
Volume
$235,180Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.The slow rollout of the Trump Gold Card visa program, with only one approval reported as of late April 2026 despite hundreds in processing, underpins trader consensus favoring the lowest sales bracket for 2026. Launched in December 2025 with initial claims of rapid multibillion-dollar uptake, the $1 million contribution requirement for expedited residency has encountered extended background checks, legal questions over processing speed, and competition from established investor pathways such as EB-5. Administration updates highlight completed setup but note deliberate pacing to address national security concerns, while broader policy focus on tariffs and deficit reduction has not yet produced measurable acceleration in applications. These factors sustain the implied probability edge for minimal volume absent new streamlining or diplomatic outreach.
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$235,180Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The slow rollout of the Trump Gold Card visa program, with only one approval reported as of late April 2026 despite hundreds in processing, underpins trader consensus favoring the lowest sales bracket for 2026. Launched in December 2025 with initial claims of rapid multibillion-dollar uptake, the $1 million contribution requirement for expedited residency has encountered extended background checks, legal questions over processing speed, and competition from established investor pathways such as EB-5. Administration updates highlight completed setup but note deliberate pacing to address national security concerns, while broader policy focus on tariffs and deficit reduction has not yet produced measurable acceleration in applications. These factors sustain the implied probability edge for minimal volume absent new streamlining or diplomatic outreach.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti