The balanced slate of 36 gubernatorial contests in November, evenly split between 18 Republican-held and 18 Democratic-held seats, anchors trader expectations near 23 Republican governors afterward. Republicans must defend offices in New Hampshire and Vermont, states that leaned Democratic in the 2024 presidential vote, while Democrats face exposure in Arizona, Kansas, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin—states carried by Republicans that cycle. Recent polling aggregates and early primary developments show limited net movement so far, leaving the range of 22–25 seats as the most probable cluster. Candidate recruitment, turnout patterns in battleground states, and any late national economic or policy shifts could still alter the final tally before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato22–23 34%
24–25 30%
26–27 18%
<22 14%
$667,336 Vol.
$667,336 Vol.
3 nov 2026
<22
14%
22–23
34%
24–25
30%
26–27
18%
28–29
7%
30–31
<1%
32+
<1%
22–23 34%
24–25 30%
26–27 18%
<22 14%
$667,336 Vol.
$667,336 Vol.
3 nov 2026
<22
$45,042 Vol.
14%
22–23
$5,792 Vol.
34%
24–25
$30,016 Vol.
30%
26–27
$14,093 Vol.
18%
28–29
$553,895 Vol.
7%
30–31
$5,551 Vol.
<1%
32+
$12,947 Vol.
<1%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.The balanced slate of 36 gubernatorial contests in November, evenly split between 18 Republican-held and 18 Democratic-held seats, anchors trader expectations near 23 Republican governors afterward. Republicans must defend offices in New Hampshire and Vermont, states that leaned Democratic in the 2024 presidential vote, while Democrats face exposure in Arizona, Kansas, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin—states carried by Republicans that cycle. Recent polling aggregates and early primary developments show limited net movement so far, leaving the range of 22–25 seats as the most probable cluster. Candidate recruitment, turnout patterns in battleground states, and any late national economic or policy shifts could still alter the final tally before resolution.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ET
Volume
$667,336Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.The balanced slate of 36 gubernatorial contests in November, evenly split between 18 Republican-held and 18 Democratic-held seats, anchors trader expectations near 23 Republican governors afterward. Republicans must defend offices in New Hampshire and Vermont, states that leaned Democratic in the 2024 presidential vote, while Democrats face exposure in Arizona, Kansas, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin—states carried by Republicans that cycle. Recent polling aggregates and early primary developments show limited net movement so far, leaving the range of 22–25 seats as the most probable cluster. Candidate recruitment, turnout patterns in battleground states, and any late national economic or policy shifts could still alter the final tally before resolution.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$667,336Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The balanced slate of 36 gubernatorial contests in November, evenly split between 18 Republican-held and 18 Democratic-held seats, anchors trader expectations near 23 Republican governors afterward. Republicans must defend offices in New Hampshire and Vermont, states that leaned Democratic in the 2024 presidential vote, while Democrats face exposure in Arizona, Kansas, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin—states carried by Republicans that cycle. Recent polling aggregates and early primary developments show limited net movement so far, leaving the range of 22–25 seats as the most probable cluster. Candidate recruitment, turnout patterns in battleground states, and any late national economic or policy shifts could still alter the final tally before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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