Republicans currently hold 26 governorships to Democrats’ 24, with 36 seats contested in November 2026 and an even split of 18 defenses per party. Trader consensus around 22–25 seats reflects the large number of open seats, retirements, and term-limited incumbents that have opened battlegrounds in states such as Georgia, Nevada, Wisconsin, Ohio, Arizona, Kansas, Michigan, and Iowa. Recent primary results and September ratings updates from Cook Political Report and Inside Elections have kept several contests in toss-up or lean categories, with Democrats targeting Republican-held seats in swing or blue-leaning states while Republicans focus on Democratic-held offices in Trump-won territory. National midterm dynamics, local issues like water quality and affordability, and the balance of these competitive races sustain the tight distribution across adjacent bins rather than a clear directional shift.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoQuanti governatori repubblicani dopo le elezioni di medio termine del 2026?
22–23 29%
24–25 21%
<22 18%
26–27 16%
$694,587 Vol.
$694,587 Vol.
<22
18%
22–23
29%
24–25
21%
26–27
16%
28–29
5%
30–31
1%
32+
<1%
22–23 29%
24–25 21%
<22 18%
26–27 16%
$694,587 Vol.
$694,587 Vol.
<22
18%
22–23
29%
24–25
21%
26–27
16%
28–29
5%
30–31
1%
32+
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ET
Risolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Risolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Republicans currently hold 26 governorships to Democrats’ 24, with 36 seats contested in November 2026 and an even split of 18 defenses per party. Trader consensus around 22–25 seats reflects the large number of open seats, retirements, and term-limited incumbents that have opened battlegrounds in states such as Georgia, Nevada, Wisconsin, Ohio, Arizona, Kansas, Michigan, and Iowa. Recent primary results and September ratings updates from Cook Political Report and Inside Elections have kept several contests in toss-up or lean categories, with Democrats targeting Republican-held seats in swing or blue-leaning states while Republicans focus on Democratic-held offices in Trump-won territory. National midterm dynamics, local issues like water quality and affordability, and the balance of these competitive races sustain the tight distribution across adjacent bins rather than a clear directional shift.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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