Recent polling shows Democrats holding a 4-7 point generic ballot edge, consistent with historical midterm patterns where the president's party typically loses seats amid low approval ratings and economic focus. Redistricting efforts in states like Texas, California, and others have shifted maps in both parties' favor, narrowing the effective playing field while leaving dozens of competitive districts rated as toss-ups or leans by analysts. With Republicans defending a slim majority and primaries largely settled, voter turnout in swing districts, candidate recruitment, and late-cycle national conditions remain pivotal variables that could shift final seat totals by 10-20 in either direction.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoI seggi repubblicani alla Camera dopo le elezioni di medio termine del 2026?
I seggi repubblicani alla Camera dopo le elezioni di medio termine del 2026?
Sotto 190 25%
190-194 16%
195-199 12%
200-204 11.6%
$285,759 Vol.
$285,759 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Sotto 190
25%
190-194
16%
195-199
12%
200-204
12%
205-209
11%
210-214
9%
215-219
7%
220-224
3%
225-229
2%
230+
3%
Sotto 190 25%
190-194 16%
195-199 12%
200-204 11.6%
$285,759 Vol.
$285,759 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Sotto 190
$32,408 Vol.
25%
190-194
$13,637 Vol.
16%
195-199
$32,609 Vol.
12%
200-204
$24,750 Vol.
12%
205-209
$40,227 Vol.
11%
210-214
$15,669 Vol.
9%
215-219
$11,450 Vol.
7%
220-224
$59,267 Vol.
3%
225-229
$24,767 Vol.
2%
230+
$30,975 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the Republican Party’s seat count in the U.S. House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 United States midterm election scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The seat count includes all House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress. Where a seat is decided by a runoff, the runoff result will determine attribution of that seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of Congress, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
House members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, the Republican party are included in the count. If the caucus decisions of members of the House elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent polling shows Democrats holding a 4-7 point generic ballot edge, consistent with historical midterm patterns where the president's party typically loses seats amid low approval ratings and economic focus. Redistricting efforts in states like Texas, California, and others have shifted maps in both parties' favor, narrowing the effective playing field while leaving dozens of competitive districts rated as toss-ups or leans by analysts. With Republicans defending a slim majority and primaries largely settled, voter turnout in swing districts, candidate recruitment, and late-cycle national conditions remain pivotal variables that could shift final seat totals by 10-20 in either direction.
This market will resolve according to the Republican Party’s seat count in the U.S. House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 United States midterm election scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The seat count includes all House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress. Where a seat is decided by a runoff, the runoff result will determine attribution of that seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of Congress, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
House members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, the Republican party are included in the count. If the caucus decisions of members of the House elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
The seat count includes all House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress. Where a seat is decided by a runoff, the runoff result will determine attribution of that seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of Congress, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
House members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, the Republican party are included in the count. If the caucus decisions of members of the House elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Dec 18, 2025, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$285,759Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 18, 2025, 8:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the Republican Party’s seat count in the U.S. House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 United States midterm election scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The seat count includes all House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress. Where a seat is decided by a runoff, the runoff result will determine attribution of that seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of Congress, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
House members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, the Republican party are included in the count. If the caucus decisions of members of the House elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent polling shows Democrats holding a 4-7 point generic ballot edge, consistent with historical midterm patterns where the president's party typically loses seats amid low approval ratings and economic focus. Redistricting efforts in states like Texas, California, and others have shifted maps in both parties' favor, narrowing the effective playing field while leaving dozens of competitive districts rated as toss-ups or leans by analysts. With Republicans defending a slim majority and primaries largely settled, voter turnout in swing districts, candidate recruitment, and late-cycle national conditions remain pivotal variables that could shift final seat totals by 10-20 in either direction.
This market will resolve according to the Republican Party’s seat count in the U.S. House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 United States midterm election scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The seat count includes all House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress. Where a seat is decided by a runoff, the runoff result will determine attribution of that seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of Congress, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
House members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, the Republican party are included in the count. If the caucus decisions of members of the House elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
The seat count includes all House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress. Where a seat is decided by a runoff, the runoff result will determine attribution of that seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of Congress, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
House members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, the Republican party are included in the count. If the caucus decisions of members of the House elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$285,759Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 18, 2025, 8:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling shows Democrats holding a 4-7 point generic ballot edge, consistent with historical midterm patterns where the president's party typically loses seats amid low approval ratings and economic focus. Redistricting efforts in states like Texas, California, and others have shifted maps in both parties' favor, narrowing the effective playing field while leaving dozens of competitive districts rated as toss-ups or leans by analysts. With Republicans defending a slim majority and primaries largely settled, voter turnout in swing districts, candidate recruitment, and late-cycle national conditions remain pivotal variables that could shift final seat totals by 10-20 in either direction.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
Il Partito Repubblicano avrà 47 o meno seggi al Senato dopo le elezioni di metà mandato del 2026?
26%
Sì
I Repubblicani deterranno 47–49 seggi al Senato e 193–207 seggi alla Camera dopo le elezioni di metà mandato del 2026?
24%
Sì
Il Partito Democratico controllerà la Camera dopo le elezioni di metà mandato del 2026?
88%
Sì
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