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icon for I seggi repubblicani alla Camera dopo le elezioni di medio termine del 2026?
Politica·Elezioni Negli Stati Uniti

I seggi repubblicani alla Camera dopo le elezioni di medio termine del 2026?

icon for I seggi repubblicani alla Camera dopo le elezioni di medio termine del 2026?
Politica·Elezioni Negli Stati Uniti

I seggi repubblicani alla Camera dopo le elezioni di medio termine del 2026?

Sotto 190 27%

190-194 13%

195-199 12%

200-204 11.8%

Polymarket

$232,384 Vol.

Sotto 190 27%

190-194 13%

195-199 12%

200-204 11.8%

Polymarket

$232,384 Vol.

Sotto 190

$16,685 Vol.

27%

190-194

$7,870 Vol.

13%

195-199

$28,089 Vol.

12%

200-204

$22,113 Vol.

12%

205-209

$35,373 Vol.

10%

210-214

$12,804 Vol.

9%

215-219

$7,989 Vol.

11%

220-224

$53,712 Vol.

9%

225-229

$21,389 Vol.

3%

230+

$26,436 Vol.

1%

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections. This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus favors Republicans falling below 190 House seats at 26.5% implied probability, reflecting persistent Democratic leads on generic ballot polls averaging D+6 as of May 14, per Nate Silver's analysis—up slightly from D+5.4 earlier this year amid souring public views of President Trump's agenda and historical midterm penalties averaging 26 seats lost by the incumbent party. With Republicans holding a narrow 212 seats currently after recent vacancies, models project GOP outcomes clustered around 190-210 amid competitive battleground districts and redistricting battles in key states. Support could consolidate toward 190-199 bins if polls stabilize, but shifts in economic indicators, primary results starting this summer, or Trump approval ratings—hovering near cycle lows—might tip toward deeper Democratic gains or narrower losses.

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.

This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.

A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$232,384
Data di fine
3 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Dec 18, 2025, 8:56 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections. This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections. This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus favors Republicans falling below 190 House seats at 26.5% implied probability, reflecting persistent Democratic leads on generic ballot polls averaging D+6 as of May 14, per Nate Silver's analysis—up slightly from D+5.4 earlier this year amid souring public views of President Trump's agenda and historical midterm penalties averaging 26 seats lost by the incumbent party. With Republicans holding a narrow 212 seats currently after recent vacancies, models project GOP outcomes clustered around 190-210 amid competitive battleground districts and redistricting battles in key states. Support could consolidate toward 190-199 bins if polls stabilize, but shifts in economic indicators, primary results starting this summer, or Trump approval ratings—hovering near cycle lows—might tip toward deeper Democratic gains or narrower losses.

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.

This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.

A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$232,384
Data di fine
3 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Dec 18, 2025, 8:56 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections. This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.

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Domande frequenti

"I seggi repubblicani alla Camera dopo le elezioni di medio termine del 2026?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 10 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Sotto 190" a 27%, seguito da "190-194" a 13%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 27¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 27% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "I seggi repubblicani alla Camera dopo le elezioni di medio termine del 2026?" ha generato $232.4K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Dec 19, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "I seggi repubblicani alla Camera dopo le elezioni di medio termine del 2026?", esplora i 10 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "I seggi repubblicani alla Camera dopo le elezioni di medio termine del 2026?" è "Sotto 190" a 27%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 27% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "190-194" a 13%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "I seggi repubblicani alla Camera dopo le elezioni di medio termine del 2026?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.