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icon for Quanti seggi vincerà Russia Unita alle prossime elezioni legislative russe?
Politica·Elezioni Mondiali

Quanti seggi vincerà Russia Unita alle prossime elezioni legislative russe?

icon for Quanti seggi vincerà Russia Unita alle prossime elezioni legislative russe?
Politica·Elezioni Mondiali

Quanti seggi vincerà Russia Unita alle prossime elezioni legislative russe?

325–339 44%

340–354 33%

355+ 10%

310–324 8.3%

Polymarket

$65,788 Vol.

325–339 44%

340–354 33%

355+ 10%

310–324 8.3%

Polymarket

$65,788 Vol.

<280

$9,646 Vol.

1%

280–294

$6,318 Vol.

1%

295–309

$3,885 Vol.

5%

310–324

$3,825 Vol.

8%

325–339

$13,970 Vol.

44%

340–354

$7,835 Vol.

33%

355+

$20,309 Vol.

10%

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia enters the September 2026 State Duma election holding roughly 314 seats and benefits from Russia's mixed electoral system of proportional representation and single-mandate districts, plus established administrative advantages that have delivered consistent majorities. Recent preparations, including candidate primaries emphasizing war veterans, the June 2026 decree fixing the vote date, and party list signals under Dmitry Medvedev, reinforce expectations of another constitutional majority near or above the 2021 outcome of 324 seats. The narrow spread between the leading 325–339 and 340–354 ranges in trader consensus reflects uncertainty over exact single-mandate performance and turnout dynamics in a controlled environment, where modest shifts in regional results or opposition containment could widen the gap before September.

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.

If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volume
$65,788
Data di fine
20 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia enters the September 2026 State Duma election holding roughly 314 seats and benefits from Russia's mixed electoral system of proportional representation and single-mandate districts, plus established administrative advantages that have delivered consistent majorities. Recent preparations, including candidate primaries emphasizing war veterans, the June 2026 decree fixing the vote date, and party list signals under Dmitry Medvedev, reinforce expectations of another constitutional majority near or above the 2021 outcome of 324 seats. The narrow spread between the leading 325–339 and 340–354 ranges in trader consensus reflects uncertainty over exact single-mandate performance and turnout dynamics in a controlled environment, where modest shifts in regional results or opposition containment could widen the gap before September.

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.

If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volume
$65,788
Data di fine
20 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.

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"Quanti seggi vincerà Russia Unita alle prossime elezioni legislative russe?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 7 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "325–339" a 44%, seguito da "340–354" a 33%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 44¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 44% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Quanti seggi vincerà Russia Unita alle prossime elezioni legislative russe?" ha generato $65.8K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Jan 7, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Quanti seggi vincerà Russia Unita alle prossime elezioni legislative russe?", esplora i 7 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Quanti seggi vincerà Russia Unita alle prossime elezioni legislative russe?" è "325–339" a 44%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 44% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "340–354" a 33%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Quanti seggi vincerà Russia Unita alle prossime elezioni legislative russe?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.