Recent polling for the October 2026 Knesset election places Yisrael Beiteinu in a narrow band of roughly 7–10 seats, reflecting stable but limited support among secular and Russian-speaking voters amid a fragmented field. Avigdor Lieberman’s early September slate submission and repeated emphasis on universal conscription without Haredi exemptions have sharpened the party’s positioning against Netanyahu-aligned ultra-Orthodox factions, yet have not produced measurable gains in surveys released through mid-September. Competition from larger opposition lists such as Yashar and B’yachad, combined with surplus-vote agreements and uncertainty over turnout among the party’s core constituencies, sustains the tight distribution between sub-5% and 6–7% outcomes. Late-campaign security developments or shifts in anti-Netanyahu bloc dynamics remain the primary variables that could separate the leading buckets before election day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato6-7% 41%
<5% 34%
7-8% 23%
5-6% 20%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 nov 2026
<5%
34%
5-6%
20%
6-7%
41%
7-8%
23%
8%+
25%
6-7% 41%
<5% 34%
7-8% 23%
5-6% 20%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 nov 2026
<5%
$642 Vol.
34%
5-6%
$119 Vol.
20%
6-7%
$201 Vol.
41%
7-8%
$132 Vol.
23%
8%+
$47 Vol.
25%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling for the October 2026 Knesset election places Yisrael Beiteinu in a narrow band of roughly 7–10 seats, reflecting stable but limited support among secular and Russian-speaking voters amid a fragmented field. Avigdor Lieberman’s early September slate submission and repeated emphasis on universal conscription without Haredi exemptions have sharpened the party’s positioning against Netanyahu-aligned ultra-Orthodox factions, yet have not produced measurable gains in surveys released through mid-September. Competition from larger opposition lists such as Yashar and B’yachad, combined with surplus-vote agreements and uncertainty over turnout among the party’s core constituencies, sustains the tight distribution between sub-5% and 6–7% outcomes. Late-campaign security developments or shifts in anti-Netanyahu bloc dynamics remain the primary variables that could separate the leading buckets before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Mercato aperto: Sep 8, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
Volume
$1,140Data di fine
27 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 8, 2026, 2:33 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling for the October 2026 Knesset election places Yisrael Beiteinu in a narrow band of roughly 7–10 seats, reflecting stable but limited support among secular and Russian-speaking voters amid a fragmented field. Avigdor Lieberman’s early September slate submission and repeated emphasis on universal conscription without Haredi exemptions have sharpened the party’s positioning against Netanyahu-aligned ultra-Orthodox factions, yet have not produced measurable gains in surveys released through mid-September. Competition from larger opposition lists such as Yashar and B’yachad, combined with surplus-vote agreements and uncertainty over turnout among the party’s core constituencies, sustains the tight distribution between sub-5% and 6–7% outcomes. Late-campaign security developments or shifts in anti-Netanyahu bloc dynamics remain the primary variables that could separate the leading buckets before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Volume
$1,140Data di fine
27 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 8, 2026, 2:33 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for the October 2026 Knesset election places Yisrael Beiteinu in a narrow band of roughly 7–10 seats, reflecting stable but limited support among secular and Russian-speaking voters amid a fragmented field. Avigdor Lieberman’s early September slate submission and repeated emphasis on universal conscription without Haredi exemptions have sharpened the party’s positioning against Netanyahu-aligned ultra-Orthodox factions, yet have not produced measurable gains in surveys released through mid-September. Competition from larger opposition lists such as Yashar and B’yachad, combined with surplus-vote agreements and uncertainty over turnout among the party’s core constituencies, sustains the tight distribution between sub-5% and 6–7% outcomes. Late-campaign security developments or shifts in anti-Netanyahu bloc dynamics remain the primary variables that could separate the leading buckets before election day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti