Recent forecasts from multiple models, including Met Office and Yr.no, indicate Buenos Aires minimum temperatures on August 23 will likely range 5–7°C amid a stable high-pressure system with light southerly to easterly winds and limited radiative cooling under increasing cloud cover. This setup favors the market's near-even split between subzero and 8°C-plus outcomes, as traders weigh historical August variability against current model consensus showing no polar air advection or clear-sky extremes. Resolution hinges on official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional readings, with any overnight wind shift or clearer conditions the key variables that could alter the final low by 2–3°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Buenos Aires il 23 agosto?
8°C or higher 81%
-2°C or below 42%
2°C 30%
0°C 28%
-2°C or below
42%
-1°C
24%
0°C
28%
1°C
28%
2°C
30%
3°C
26%
4°C
24%
5°C
24%
6°C
23%
7°C
23%
8°C or higher
81%
8°C or higher 81%
-2°C or below 42%
2°C 30%
0°C 28%
-2°C or below
42%
-1°C
24%
0°C
28%
1°C
28%
2°C
30%
3°C
26%
4°C
24%
5°C
24%
6°C
23%
7°C
23%
8°C or higher
81%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including Met Office and Yr.no, indicate Buenos Aires minimum temperatures on August 23 will likely range 5–7°C amid a stable high-pressure system with light southerly to easterly winds and limited radiative cooling under increasing cloud cover. This setup favors the market's near-even split between subzero and 8°C-plus outcomes, as traders weigh historical August variability against current model consensus showing no polar air advection or clear-sky extremes. Resolution hinges on official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional readings, with any overnight wind shift or clearer conditions the key variables that could alter the final low by 2–3°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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