Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Los Angeles shows notable spread in projected overnight minimum temperatures for August 23, with some solutions favoring strong marine-layer intrusion and enhanced radiative cooling that could push lows to 63°F or below, while others indicate persistent onshore warming and reduced cloud cover supporting readings of 82°F or higher. This divergence arises from uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture, wind patterns, and the timing of any sea-breeze front, factors that strongly influence nocturnal cooling rates in the Los Angeles Basin. Historical August climatology centers around 65–70°F, so current model disagreement is driving the balanced market-implied odds across extremes and narrower interior ranges. Fresh model runs and surface observations over the next 24 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Los Angeles il 23 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Los Angeles il 23 agosto?
82°F o superiore 82%
76-77°F 48%
63°F o inferiore 43%
70-71°F 28%
NUOVO
NUOVO
23 ago 2026
63°F o inferiore
43%
64-65°F
26%
66-67°F
26%
68-69°F
30%
70-71°F
28%
72-73°F
25%
74-75°F
25%
76-77°F
48%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
6%
82°F o superiore
82%
82°F o superiore 82%
76-77°F 48%
63°F o inferiore 43%
70-71°F 28%
NUOVO
NUOVO
23 ago 2026
63°F o inferiore
$0 Vol.
43%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
26%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
26%
68-69°F
$25 Vol.
30%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
28%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
25%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
25%
76-77°F
$30 Vol.
48%
78-79°F
$30 Vol.
6%
80-81°F
$20 Vol.
6%
82°F o superiore
$10 Vol.
82%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Los Angeles shows notable spread in projected overnight minimum temperatures for August 23, with some solutions favoring strong marine-layer intrusion and enhanced radiative cooling that could push lows to 63°F or below, while others indicate persistent onshore warming and reduced cloud cover supporting readings of 82°F or higher. This divergence arises from uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture, wind patterns, and the timing of any sea-breeze front, factors that strongly influence nocturnal cooling rates in the Los Angeles Basin. Historical August climatology centers around 65–70°F, so current model disagreement is driving the balanced market-implied odds across extremes and narrower interior ranges. Fresh model runs and surface observations over the next 24 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$115Data di fine
23 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Los Angeles shows notable spread in projected overnight minimum temperatures for August 23, with some solutions favoring strong marine-layer intrusion and enhanced radiative cooling that could push lows to 63°F or below, while others indicate persistent onshore warming and reduced cloud cover supporting readings of 82°F or higher. This divergence arises from uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture, wind patterns, and the timing of any sea-breeze front, factors that strongly influence nocturnal cooling rates in the Los Angeles Basin. Historical August climatology centers around 65–70°F, so current model disagreement is driving the balanced market-implied odds across extremes and narrower interior ranges. Fresh model runs and surface observations over the next 24 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$115Data di fine
23 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Los Angeles shows notable spread in projected overnight minimum temperatures for August 23, with some solutions favoring strong marine-layer intrusion and enhanced radiative cooling that could push lows to 63°F or below, while others indicate persistent onshore warming and reduced cloud cover supporting readings of 82°F or higher. This divergence arises from uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture, wind patterns, and the timing of any sea-breeze front, factors that strongly influence nocturnal cooling rates in the Los Angeles Basin. Historical August climatology centers around 65–70°F, so current model disagreement is driving the balanced market-implied odds across extremes and narrower interior ranges. Fresh model runs and surface observations over the next 24 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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