**Forecast uncertainty around overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and thunderstorm activity is the main driver keeping market-implied odds nearly even between a minimum of 20 °C or below and 30 °C or higher.** Current numerical weather prediction runs indicate a subtropical airmass with daytime highs near 31–33 °C and nighttime lows most likely in the 24–26 °C range, close to the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 24.4 °C for September 13. Persistent easterly flow, high humidity, and an 80 % or greater probability of showers and thunderstorms limit clear-sky radiational cooling, while any breaks in cloud cover or localized downdrafts could allow temperatures to dip lower. Model consensus will be refined by the next 00Z and 12Z cycles, which traders are monitoring closely for shifts in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed that directly affect the daily minimum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Guangzhou il 13 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Guangzhou il 13 settembre?
20°C o inferiore 82%
30°C o superiore 82%
25°C 45%
23°C 40%
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 set 2026
20°C o inferiore
82%
21°C
5%
22°C
18%
23°C
40%
24°C
22%
25°C
28%
26°C
23%
27°C
22%
28°C
40%
29°C
18%
30°C o superiore
82%
20°C o inferiore 82%
30°C o superiore 82%
25°C 45%
23°C 40%
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 set 2026
20°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
82%
21°C
$0 Vol.
5%
22°C
$0 Vol.
18%
23°C
$0 Vol.
40%
24°C
$0 Vol.
22%
25°C
$22 Vol.
28%
26°C
$0 Vol.
23%
27°C
$0 Vol.
22%
28°C
$0 Vol.
40%
29°C
$0 Vol.
18%
30°C o superiore
$0 Vol.
82%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast uncertainty around overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and thunderstorm activity is the main driver keeping market-implied odds nearly even between a minimum of 20 °C or below and 30 °C or higher.**
Current numerical weather prediction runs indicate a subtropical airmass with daytime highs near 31–33 °C and nighttime lows most likely in the 24–26 °C range, close to the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 24.4 °C for September 13. Persistent easterly flow, high humidity, and an 80 % or greater probability of showers and thunderstorms limit clear-sky radiational cooling, while any breaks in cloud cover or localized downdrafts could allow temperatures to dip lower. Model consensus will be refined by the next 00Z and 12Z cycles, which traders are monitoring closely for shifts in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed that directly affect the daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$22Data di fine
13 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast uncertainty around overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and thunderstorm activity is the main driver keeping market-implied odds nearly even between a minimum of 20 °C or below and 30 °C or higher.**
Current numerical weather prediction runs indicate a subtropical airmass with daytime highs near 31–33 °C and nighttime lows most likely in the 24–26 °C range, close to the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 24.4 °C for September 13. Persistent easterly flow, high humidity, and an 80 % or greater probability of showers and thunderstorms limit clear-sky radiational cooling, while any breaks in cloud cover or localized downdrafts could allow temperatures to dip lower. Model consensus will be refined by the next 00Z and 12Z cycles, which traders are monitoring closely for shifts in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed that directly affect the daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$22Data di fine
13 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast uncertainty around overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and thunderstorm activity is the main driver keeping market-implied odds nearly even between a minimum of 20 °C or below and 30 °C or higher.** Current numerical weather prediction runs indicate a subtropical airmass with daytime highs near 31–33 °C and nighttime lows most likely in the 24–26 °C range, close to the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 24.4 °C for September 13. Persistent easterly flow, high humidity, and an 80 % or greater probability of showers and thunderstorms limit clear-sky radiational cooling, while any breaks in cloud cover or localized downdrafts could allow temperatures to dip lower. Model consensus will be refined by the next 00Z and 12Z cycles, which traders are monitoring closely for shifts in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed that directly affect the daily minimum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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