**Current weather models and real-time observations indicate a minimum temperature of 26°C in Guangzhou on September 8, 2026, aligning with the market's 99.5% implied probability for that outcome.** Forecasts from multiple sources, including high-resolution numerical weather prediction runs, show overnight lows stabilizing near 26–27°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds and moderate humidity around 70–80%, consistent with late-summer subtropical conditions in the Pearl River Delta. Recent days have featured above-average warmth with highs near 33–36°C and limited nocturnal cooling, reinforced by a stable atmospheric pattern lacking strong cold advection. Historical September 8 lows average 24.7°C, yet current steering flows and dew points support the higher floor. A realistic shift below 26°C would require unforecasted heavy overnight rain or a sharper-than-expected wind shift, though model consensus shows low divergence on this short-range timeframe.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Guangzhou l'8 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Guangzhou l'8 settembre?
26°C 100.0%
25°C <1%
20°C o inferiore <1%
21°C <1%
$2,237 Vol.
$2,237 Vol.
8 set 2026
20°C o inferiore
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Sì
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C o superiore
No
26°C 100.0%
25°C <1%
20°C o inferiore <1%
21°C <1%
$2,237 Vol.
$2,237 Vol.
8 set 2026
20°C o inferiore
$58 Vol.
No
21°C
$85 Vol.
No
22°C
$85 Vol.
No
23°C
$175 Vol.
No
24°C
$245 Vol.
No
25°C
$208 Vol.
No
26°C
$843 Vol.
Sì
27°C
$270 Vol.
No
28°C
$161 Vol.
No
29°C
$45 Vol.
No
30°C o superiore
$62 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current weather models and real-time observations indicate a minimum temperature of 26°C in Guangzhou on September 8, 2026, aligning with the market's 99.5% implied probability for that outcome.** Forecasts from multiple sources, including high-resolution numerical weather prediction runs, show overnight lows stabilizing near 26–27°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds and moderate humidity around 70–80%, consistent with late-summer subtropical conditions in the Pearl River Delta. Recent days have featured above-average warmth with highs near 33–36°C and limited nocturnal cooling, reinforced by a stable atmospheric pattern lacking strong cold advection. Historical September 8 lows average 24.7°C, yet current steering flows and dew points support the higher floor. A realistic shift below 26°C would require unforecasted heavy overnight rain or a sharper-than-expected wind shift, though model consensus shows low divergence on this short-range timeframe.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 6, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$2,237Data di fine
8 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 6, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current weather models and real-time observations indicate a minimum temperature of 26°C in Guangzhou on September 8, 2026, aligning with the market's 99.5% implied probability for that outcome.** Forecasts from multiple sources, including high-resolution numerical weather prediction runs, show overnight lows stabilizing near 26–27°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds and moderate humidity around 70–80%, consistent with late-summer subtropical conditions in the Pearl River Delta. Recent days have featured above-average warmth with highs near 33–36°C and limited nocturnal cooling, reinforced by a stable atmospheric pattern lacking strong cold advection. Historical September 8 lows average 24.7°C, yet current steering flows and dew points support the higher floor. A realistic shift below 26°C would require unforecasted heavy overnight rain or a sharper-than-expected wind shift, though model consensus shows low divergence on this short-range timeframe.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,237Data di fine
8 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 6, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
**Current weather models and real-time observations indicate a minimum temperature of 26°C in Guangzhou on September 8, 2026, aligning with the market's 99.5% implied probability for that outcome.** Forecasts from multiple sources, including high-resolution numerical weather prediction runs, show overnight lows stabilizing near 26–27°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds and moderate humidity around 70–80%, consistent with late-summer subtropical conditions in the Pearl River Delta. Recent days have featured above-average warmth with highs near 33–36°C and limited nocturnal cooling, reinforced by a stable atmospheric pattern lacking strong cold advection. Historical September 8 lows average 24.7°C, yet current steering flows and dew points support the higher floor. A realistic shift below 26°C would require unforecasted heavy overnight rain or a sharper-than-expected wind shift, though model consensus shows low divergence on this short-range timeframe.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti