Northeast monsoon flow over Hong Kong on September 11 drove the overwhelming market consensus for a 25°C daily minimum, as drier northeasterly winds of 4–5 m/s promoted clear to partly cloudy skies and efficient overnight radiative cooling. Hong Kong Observatory forecasts aligned closely with this outcome, projecting a 25–31°C range with the low near 25°C under stable high-pressure conditions typical for mid-September. Historical September minima average around 26°C, but the specific steering pattern and limited moisture supported slightly enhanced cooling without triggering showers that could raise the floor. Trader positioning reflects this model consensus and official guidance, though revised observational data or localized urban heat effects could still shift the final HKO absolute minimum reading.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong l'11 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong l'11 settembre?
25°C 99.8%
23°C 2.0%
24°C 1.0%
27°C <1%
$37,928 Vol.
$37,928 Vol.
11 set 2026
21°C o inferiore
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C o superiore
<1%
25°C 99.8%
23°C 2.0%
24°C 1.0%
27°C <1%
$37,928 Vol.
$37,928 Vol.
11 set 2026
21°C o inferiore
$1,045 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,050 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$2,591 Vol.
2%
24°C
$5,713 Vol.
1%
25°C
$9,831 Vol.
100%
26°C
$5,533 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$8,797 Vol.
1%
28°C
$3,101 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$86 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$96 Vol.
<1%
31°C o superiore
$86 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Northeast monsoon flow over Hong Kong on September 11 drove the overwhelming market consensus for a 25°C daily minimum, as drier northeasterly winds of 4–5 m/s promoted clear to partly cloudy skies and efficient overnight radiative cooling. Hong Kong Observatory forecasts aligned closely with this outcome, projecting a 25–31°C range with the low near 25°C under stable high-pressure conditions typical for mid-September. Historical September minima average around 26°C, but the specific steering pattern and limited moisture supported slightly enhanced cooling without triggering showers that could raise the floor. Trader positioning reflects this model consensus and official guidance, though revised observational data or localized urban heat effects could still shift the final HKO absolute minimum reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$37,928Data di fine
11 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Northeast monsoon flow over Hong Kong on September 11 drove the overwhelming market consensus for a 25°C daily minimum, as drier northeasterly winds of 4–5 m/s promoted clear to partly cloudy skies and efficient overnight radiative cooling. Hong Kong Observatory forecasts aligned closely with this outcome, projecting a 25–31°C range with the low near 25°C under stable high-pressure conditions typical for mid-September. Historical September minima average around 26°C, but the specific steering pattern and limited moisture supported slightly enhanced cooling without triggering showers that could raise the floor. Trader positioning reflects this model consensus and official guidance, though revised observational data or localized urban heat effects could still shift the final HKO absolute minimum reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$37,928Data di fine
11 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Northeast monsoon flow over Hong Kong on September 11 drove the overwhelming market consensus for a 25°C daily minimum, as drier northeasterly winds of 4–5 m/s promoted clear to partly cloudy skies and efficient overnight radiative cooling. Hong Kong Observatory forecasts aligned closely with this outcome, projecting a 25–31°C range with the low near 25°C under stable high-pressure conditions typical for mid-September. Historical September minima average around 26°C, but the specific steering pattern and limited moisture supported slightly enhanced cooling without triggering showers that could raise the floor. Trader positioning reflects this model consensus and official guidance, though revised observational data or localized urban heat effects could still shift the final HKO absolute minimum reading.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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