Recent Hong Kong Observatory observations and forecast models from agencies including the Hong Kong Observatory indicate the daily minimum temperature on September 13 stabilized near 27°C amid a humid subtropical air mass with limited radiative cooling overnight. Consistent runs from global models show dew points remaining elevated around 24–26°C, suppressing further drops, while light easterly winds and partial cloud cover maintained equilibrium close to climatological September norms of roughly 26°C. This evidence underpins the 98.9% market-implied probability for 27°C. A sharper clear-sky period or unexpected northerly flow could allow additional cooling toward 25–26°C, though current conditions make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 13 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 13 settembre?
27°C 98.9%
26°C 2.0%
24°C 1.7%
25°C 1.0%
$22,301 Vol.
$22,301 Vol.
13 set 2026
22°C o inferiore
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
99%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C o superiore
<1%
27°C 98.9%
26°C 2.0%
24°C 1.7%
25°C 1.0%
$22,301 Vol.
$22,301 Vol.
13 set 2026
22°C o inferiore
$1,334 Vol.
1%
23°C
$2,726 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$2,818 Vol.
2%
25°C
$3,674 Vol.
1%
26°C
$2,699 Vol.
2%
27°C
$8,207 Vol.
99%
28°C
$446 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$164 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$77 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$77 Vol.
<1%
32°C o superiore
$77 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory observations and forecast models from agencies including the Hong Kong Observatory indicate the daily minimum temperature on September 13 stabilized near 27°C amid a humid subtropical air mass with limited radiative cooling overnight. Consistent runs from global models show dew points remaining elevated around 24–26°C, suppressing further drops, while light easterly winds and partial cloud cover maintained equilibrium close to climatological September norms of roughly 26°C. This evidence underpins the 98.9% market-implied probability for 27°C. A sharper clear-sky period or unexpected northerly flow could allow additional cooling toward 25–26°C, though current conditions make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$22,301Data di fine
13 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory observations and forecast models from agencies including the Hong Kong Observatory indicate the daily minimum temperature on September 13 stabilized near 27°C amid a humid subtropical air mass with limited radiative cooling overnight. Consistent runs from global models show dew points remaining elevated around 24–26°C, suppressing further drops, while light easterly winds and partial cloud cover maintained equilibrium close to climatological September norms of roughly 26°C. This evidence underpins the 98.9% market-implied probability for 27°C. A sharper clear-sky period or unexpected northerly flow could allow additional cooling toward 25–26°C, though current conditions make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$22,301Data di fine
13 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory observations and forecast models from agencies including the Hong Kong Observatory indicate the daily minimum temperature on September 13 stabilized near 27°C amid a humid subtropical air mass with limited radiative cooling overnight. Consistent runs from global models show dew points remaining elevated around 24–26°C, suppressing further drops, while light easterly winds and partial cloud cover maintained equilibrium close to climatological September norms of roughly 26°C. This evidence underpins the 98.9% market-implied probability for 27°C. A sharper clear-sky period or unexpected northerly flow could allow additional cooling toward 25–26°C, though current conditions make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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