Recent cold air advection across Shandong has driven overnight cooling in Jinan, with official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and regional models converging on a minimum near 14–16 °C under mostly cloudy skies and light northerly flow. This places the lowest temperature squarely in the narrow band where market-implied probabilities for 15 °C, 16 °C, and 17 °C remain nearly equal, reflecting residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of the coldest hour before sunrise. Historical September climatology shows average lows around 16–18 °C, so the current anomaly stems directly from the transient high-pressure surge behind the front rather than a broader seasonal shift. Updated model runs tonight and early-morning observations will determine whether the minimum settles at 15 °C or edges higher.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Jinan il 9 settembre?
15°C 49%
16°C 49%
17°C 49%
14°C 9%
12°C o inferiore
5%
13°C
7%
14°C
9%
15°C
49%
16°C
49%
17°C
49%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C o superiore
2%
15°C 49%
16°C 49%
17°C 49%
14°C 9%
12°C o inferiore
5%
13°C
7%
14°C
9%
15°C
49%
16°C
49%
17°C
49%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C o superiore
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent cold air advection across Shandong has driven overnight cooling in Jinan, with official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and regional models converging on a minimum near 14–16 °C under mostly cloudy skies and light northerly flow. This places the lowest temperature squarely in the narrow band where market-implied probabilities for 15 °C, 16 °C, and 17 °C remain nearly equal, reflecting residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of the coldest hour before sunrise. Historical September climatology shows average lows around 16–18 °C, so the current anomaly stems directly from the transient high-pressure surge behind the front rather than a broader seasonal shift. Updated model runs tonight and early-morning observations will determine whether the minimum settles at 15 °C or edges higher.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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