Recent Met Office and GFS model runs position the overnight minimum near 11–14 °C, aligning with trader emphasis on 13–15 °C outcomes. Mild southwesterly flow off the Atlantic has limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, while dew-point values near 10–12 °C and light winds around 10–15 mph have kept temperatures from dropping sharply. Historical September climatology for London shows typical minima near 11 °C, and current conditions reflect a modest positive anomaly relative to that baseline. With the day’s lowest temperature likely to occur in the pre-dawn hours, any late-model adjustments to cloud cover or wind speed could shift the final reading within the narrow 13–15 °C band dominating market-implied odds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Londra il 17 settembre?
14°C 56%
15°C 49%
13°C 11%
12°C 2%
10°C o inferiore
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
2%
13°C
14%
14°C
56%
15°C
27%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C o superiore
<1%
14°C 56%
15°C 49%
13°C 11%
12°C 2%
10°C o inferiore
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
2%
13°C
14%
14°C
56%
15°C
27%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and GFS model runs position the overnight minimum near 11–14 °C, aligning with trader emphasis on 13–15 °C outcomes. Mild southwesterly flow off the Atlantic has limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, while dew-point values near 10–12 °C and light winds around 10–15 mph have kept temperatures from dropping sharply. Historical September climatology for London shows typical minima near 11 °C, and current conditions reflect a modest positive anomaly relative to that baseline. With the day’s lowest temperature likely to occur in the pre-dawn hours, any late-model adjustments to cloud cover or wind speed could shift the final reading within the narrow 13–15 °C band dominating market-implied odds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti