Active southwest monsoon conditions over Luzon, including persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity, represent the main driver keeping overnight lows near or slightly below seasonal norms for Manila. PAGASA forecasts for August 21 indicate a daily range of 26–32°C with 60% rain probability, consistent with AccuWeather guidance showing typical August minima of 24–27°C. Recent model consensus and climatological baselines around 25°C support the market’s elevated implied probability on 22°C or below, while the tight clustering around 23–28°C reflects ongoing uncertainty in exact radiative cooling under variable rainfall. Official PAGASA station readings the following morning will determine resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Manila il 21 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Manila il 21 agosto?
23°C 34%
24°C 34%
25°C 34%
26°C 34%
NUOVO
NUOVO
21 ago 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
34%
24°C
34%
25°C
34%
26°C
34%
27°C
34%
28°C
34%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
23°C 34%
24°C 34%
25°C 34%
26°C 34%
NUOVO
NUOVO
21 ago 2026
22°C or below
$49 Vol.
1%
23°C
$5 Vol.
34%
24°C
$5 Vol.
34%
25°C
$0 Vol.
34%
26°C
$0 Vol.
34%
27°C
$0 Vol.
34%
28°C
$0 Vol.
34%
29°C
$105 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$105 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$105 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$105 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Active southwest monsoon conditions over Luzon, including persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity, represent the main driver keeping overnight lows near or slightly below seasonal norms for Manila. PAGASA forecasts for August 21 indicate a daily range of 26–32°C with 60% rain probability, consistent with AccuWeather guidance showing typical August minima of 24–27°C. Recent model consensus and climatological baselines around 25°C support the market’s elevated implied probability on 22°C or below, while the tight clustering around 23–28°C reflects ongoing uncertainty in exact radiative cooling under variable rainfall. Official PAGASA station readings the following morning will determine resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Volume
$479Data di fine
21 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Active southwest monsoon conditions over Luzon, including persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity, represent the main driver keeping overnight lows near or slightly below seasonal norms for Manila. PAGASA forecasts for August 21 indicate a daily range of 26–32°C with 60% rain probability, consistent with AccuWeather guidance showing typical August minima of 24–27°C. Recent model consensus and climatological baselines around 25°C support the market’s elevated implied probability on 22°C or below, while the tight clustering around 23–28°C reflects ongoing uncertainty in exact radiative cooling under variable rainfall. Official PAGASA station readings the following morning will determine resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$479Data di fine
21 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Active southwest monsoon conditions over Luzon, including persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity, represent the main driver keeping overnight lows near or slightly below seasonal norms for Manila. PAGASA forecasts for August 21 indicate a daily range of 26–32°C with 60% rain probability, consistent with AccuWeather guidance showing typical August minima of 24–27°C. Recent model consensus and climatological baselines around 25°C support the market’s elevated implied probability on 22°C or below, while the tight clustering around 23–28°C reflects ongoing uncertainty in exact radiative cooling under variable rainfall. Official PAGASA station readings the following morning will determine resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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