Current model consensus from sources like GFS points to an overnight minimum near 13–14°C in Moscow on September 21, driven by moderate southerly flow, variable cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, and dew points around 11–12°C that suppress further drops. These conditions, following a period of above-normal warmth, keep the low tightly contested between 13°C and 14°C as small shifts in cloud timing or wind could alter the final reading by 1°C. Historical September averages hover near 8–10°C for lows, underscoring how this mild setup favors the higher end of recent forecasts, though any unexpected clearing overnight could push readings toward 12°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Mosca il 21 settembre?
11°C 95%
8°C o inferiore 90%
13°C 50%
14°C 50%
8°C o inferiore
90%
9°C
11%
10°C
18%
11°C
95%
12°C
49%
13°C
50%
14°C
50%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C o superiore
<1%
11°C 95%
8°C o inferiore 90%
13°C 50%
14°C 50%
8°C o inferiore
90%
9°C
11%
10°C
18%
11°C
95%
12°C
49%
13°C
50%
14°C
50%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Current model consensus from sources like GFS points to an overnight minimum near 13–14°C in Moscow on September 21, driven by moderate southerly flow, variable cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, and dew points around 11–12°C that suppress further drops. These conditions, following a period of above-normal warmth, keep the low tightly contested between 13°C and 14°C as small shifts in cloud timing or wind could alter the final reading by 1°C. Historical September averages hover near 8–10°C for lows, underscoring how this mild setup favors the higher end of recent forecasts, though any unexpected clearing overnight could push readings toward 12°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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