Forecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate a warming trend across the Northeast, with a building ridge of high pressure driving southerly flow and limiting nocturnal cooling for New York City on July 14. Overnight lows are projected in the upper 60s to mid-70s Fahrenheit under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, consistent with trader consensus favoring 70–79°F ranges that together exceed 90% implied probability. Recent model runs show minimal disagreement on this trajectory, though any unexpected cloud cover or wind shift could nudge minimums slightly lower. Historical July norms for Central Park lows near 70°F provide context, while the absence of frontal passages reinforces elevated readings ahead of the next forecast update.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di New York il 14 luglio?
La temperatura più bassa di New York il 14 luglio?
72-73°F 39%
74-75°F 24%
70-71°F 14%
76-77°F 5.3%
NUOVO
$10,820 Vol.
NUOVO
$10,820 Vol.
14 lug 2026
61°F o inferiore
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
14%
72-73°F
53%
74-75°F
31%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
1%
80°F o superiore
<1%
72-73°F 39%
74-75°F 24%
70-71°F 14%
76-77°F 5.3%
NUOVO
$10,820 Vol.
NUOVO
$10,820 Vol.
14 lug 2026
61°F o inferiore
$359 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$613 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$940 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$1,247 Vol.
1%
68-69°F
$3,529 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$1,479 Vol.
14%
72-73°F
$331 Vol.
53%
74-75°F
$427 Vol.
31%
76-77°F
$402 Vol.
5%
78-79°F
$893 Vol.
1%
80°F o superiore
$648 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate a warming trend across the Northeast, with a building ridge of high pressure driving southerly flow and limiting nocturnal cooling for New York City on July 14. Overnight lows are projected in the upper 60s to mid-70s Fahrenheit under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, consistent with trader consensus favoring 70–79°F ranges that together exceed 90% implied probability. Recent model runs show minimal disagreement on this trajectory, though any unexpected cloud cover or wind shift could nudge minimums slightly lower. Historical July norms for Central Park lows near 70°F provide context, while the absence of frontal passages reinforces elevated readings ahead of the next forecast update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 12, 2026, 8:30 PM ET
Volume
$10,820Data di fine
14 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 12, 2026, 8:30 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate a warming trend across the Northeast, with a building ridge of high pressure driving southerly flow and limiting nocturnal cooling for New York City on July 14. Overnight lows are projected in the upper 60s to mid-70s Fahrenheit under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, consistent with trader consensus favoring 70–79°F ranges that together exceed 90% implied probability. Recent model runs show minimal disagreement on this trajectory, though any unexpected cloud cover or wind shift could nudge minimums slightly lower. Historical July norms for Central Park lows near 70°F provide context, while the absence of frontal passages reinforces elevated readings ahead of the next forecast update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,820Data di fine
14 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 12, 2026, 8:30 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate a warming trend across the Northeast, with a building ridge of high pressure driving southerly flow and limiting nocturnal cooling for New York City on July 14. Overnight lows are projected in the upper 60s to mid-70s Fahrenheit under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, consistent with trader consensus favoring 70–79°F ranges that together exceed 90% implied probability. Recent model runs show minimal disagreement on this trajectory, though any unexpected cloud cover or wind shift could nudge minimums slightly lower. Historical July norms for Central Park lows near 70°F provide context, while the absence of frontal passages reinforces elevated readings ahead of the next forecast update.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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