Recent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) project a 24°C minimum temperature for the Seoul-Incheon area on August 13 under clear morning skies transitioning to partly cloudy conditions, establishing the primary driver behind the market's tight clustering on 23–24°C outcomes. Late-summer high pressure supports modest radiative cooling overnight, though elevated humidity and the urban heat island effect typically limit temperature drops compared to rural sites, aligning with historical August minima averaging 23–25°C. Minor divergences among numerical weather models regarding nocturnal wind speeds and cloud cover explain traders' slight downward adjustment from the official 24–25°C guidance. Updated KMA briefings and refined model runs expected overnight will likely refine these implied probabilities before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Seoul (Incheon) il 13 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Seoul (Incheon) il 13 agosto?
23°C 54%
24°C 35%
22°C 10%
21°C 5.1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 ago 2026
18°C o inferiore
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
5%
22°C
10%
23°C
54%
24°C
35%
25°C
3%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C o superiore
<1%
23°C 54%
24°C 35%
22°C 10%
21°C 5.1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 ago 2026
18°C o inferiore
$400 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$242 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$231 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$352 Vol.
5%
22°C
$592 Vol.
10%
23°C
$1,350 Vol.
54%
24°C
$2,063 Vol.
35%
25°C
$395 Vol.
3%
26°C
$371 Vol.
2%
27°C
$483 Vol.
<1%
28°C o superiore
$292 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) project a 24°C minimum temperature for the Seoul-Incheon area on August 13 under clear morning skies transitioning to partly cloudy conditions, establishing the primary driver behind the market's tight clustering on 23–24°C outcomes. Late-summer high pressure supports modest radiative cooling overnight, though elevated humidity and the urban heat island effect typically limit temperature drops compared to rural sites, aligning with historical August minima averaging 23–25°C. Minor divergences among numerical weather models regarding nocturnal wind speeds and cloud cover explain traders' slight downward adjustment from the official 24–25°C guidance. Updated KMA briefings and refined model runs expected overnight will likely refine these implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$6,772Data di fine
13 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) project a 24°C minimum temperature for the Seoul-Incheon area on August 13 under clear morning skies transitioning to partly cloudy conditions, establishing the primary driver behind the market's tight clustering on 23–24°C outcomes. Late-summer high pressure supports modest radiative cooling overnight, though elevated humidity and the urban heat island effect typically limit temperature drops compared to rural sites, aligning with historical August minima averaging 23–25°C. Minor divergences among numerical weather models regarding nocturnal wind speeds and cloud cover explain traders' slight downward adjustment from the official 24–25°C guidance. Updated KMA briefings and refined model runs expected overnight will likely refine these implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,772Data di fine
13 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) project a 24°C minimum temperature for the Seoul-Incheon area on August 13 under clear morning skies transitioning to partly cloudy conditions, establishing the primary driver behind the market's tight clustering on 23–24°C outcomes. Late-summer high pressure supports modest radiative cooling overnight, though elevated humidity and the urban heat island effect typically limit temperature drops compared to rural sites, aligning with historical August minima averaging 23–25°C. Minor divergences among numerical weather models regarding nocturnal wind speeds and cloud cover explain traders' slight downward adjustment from the official 24–25°C guidance. Updated KMA briefings and refined model runs expected overnight will likely refine these implied probabilities before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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