Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate Shanghai's overnight low on August 16 will settle near 26°C amid subtropical monsoon conditions, passing showers, and broken cloud cover that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-August, when average lows range 25–26°C and humidity remains elevated around 75–80%. Trader consensus at 99.6% for exactly 26°C reflects this strong model agreement and recent observational trends showing stable warm nights without significant frontal passages. Minor deviations remain possible if localized heavy rainfall enhances evaporative cooling or if updated runs shift the minimum by 1°C, though such changes appear unlikely given the narrow forecast spread and proximity to resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 16 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 16 agosto?
26°C 100.0%
20°C o inferiore <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$22,454 Vol.
$22,454 Vol.
16 ago 2026
20°C o inferiore
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Sì
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C o superiore
No
26°C 100.0%
20°C o inferiore <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$22,454 Vol.
$22,454 Vol.
16 ago 2026
20°C o inferiore
$323 Vol.
No
21°C
$323 Vol.
No
22°C
$538 Vol.
No
23°C
$2,207 Vol.
No
24°C
$2,186 Vol.
No
25°C
$4,942 Vol.
No
26°C
$8,005 Vol.
Sì
27°C
$1,090 Vol.
No
28°C
$2,174 Vol.
No
29°C
$323 Vol.
No
30°C o superiore
$345 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate Shanghai's overnight low on August 16 will settle near 26°C amid subtropical monsoon conditions, passing showers, and broken cloud cover that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-August, when average lows range 25–26°C and humidity remains elevated around 75–80%. Trader consensus at 99.6% for exactly 26°C reflects this strong model agreement and recent observational trends showing stable warm nights without significant frontal passages. Minor deviations remain possible if localized heavy rainfall enhances evaporative cooling or if updated runs shift the minimum by 1°C, though such changes appear unlikely given the narrow forecast spread and proximity to resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$22,454Data di fine
16 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: Sì
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: Sì
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate Shanghai's overnight low on August 16 will settle near 26°C amid subtropical monsoon conditions, passing showers, and broken cloud cover that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-August, when average lows range 25–26°C and humidity remains elevated around 75–80%. Trader consensus at 99.6% for exactly 26°C reflects this strong model agreement and recent observational trends showing stable warm nights without significant frontal passages. Minor deviations remain possible if localized heavy rainfall enhances evaporative cooling or if updated runs shift the minimum by 1°C, though such changes appear unlikely given the narrow forecast spread and proximity to resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$22,454Data di fine
16 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: Sì
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: Sì
Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate Shanghai's overnight low on August 16 will settle near 26°C amid subtropical monsoon conditions, passing showers, and broken cloud cover that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-August, when average lows range 25–26°C and humidity remains elevated around 75–80%. Trader consensus at 99.6% for exactly 26°C reflects this strong model agreement and recent observational trends showing stable warm nights without significant frontal passages. Minor deviations remain possible if localized heavy rainfall enhances evaporative cooling or if updated runs shift the minimum by 1°C, though such changes appear unlikely given the narrow forecast spread and proximity to resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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