Recent forecast models from sources including timeanddate.com and climate-data.org indicate Shanghai overnight lows near 25–26°C on August 26, 2026, driving the market's strong consensus on the 26°C and 27°C outcomes. Late-August climatology in the region typically features minimum temperatures of 24–27°C under prevailing subtropical high pressure, with limited diurnal cooling due to high humidity and urban heat effects. Current conditions show no major frontal systems or typhoon influences to produce sharper drops, keeping probabilities aligned with historical baselines from the China Meteorological Administration. Updated model runs and official station observations expected in the next 48 hours could refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 26 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 26 agosto?
27°C 57%
26°C 35%
25°C 5%
28°C 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
26 ago 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
5%
26°C
35%
27°C
57%
28°C
5%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 57%
26°C 35%
25°C 5%
28°C 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
26 ago 2026
22°C or below
$164 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$185 Vol.
2%
25°C
$76 Vol.
5%
26°C
$317 Vol.
35%
27°C
$277 Vol.
57%
28°C
$50 Vol.
5%
29°C
$82 Vol.
1%
30°C
$104 Vol.
3%
31°C
$135 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$162 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including timeanddate.com and climate-data.org indicate Shanghai overnight lows near 25–26°C on August 26, 2026, driving the market's strong consensus on the 26°C and 27°C outcomes. Late-August climatology in the region typically features minimum temperatures of 24–27°C under prevailing subtropical high pressure, with limited diurnal cooling due to high humidity and urban heat effects. Current conditions show no major frontal systems or typhoon influences to produce sharper drops, keeping probabilities aligned with historical baselines from the China Meteorological Administration. Updated model runs and official station observations expected in the next 48 hours could refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,556Data di fine
26 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including timeanddate.com and climate-data.org indicate Shanghai overnight lows near 25–26°C on August 26, 2026, driving the market's strong consensus on the 26°C and 27°C outcomes. Late-August climatology in the region typically features minimum temperatures of 24–27°C under prevailing subtropical high pressure, with limited diurnal cooling due to high humidity and urban heat effects. Current conditions show no major frontal systems or typhoon influences to produce sharper drops, keeping probabilities aligned with historical baselines from the China Meteorological Administration. Updated model runs and official station observations expected in the next 48 hours could refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,556Data di fine
26 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including timeanddate.com and climate-data.org indicate Shanghai overnight lows near 25–26°C on August 26, 2026, driving the market's strong consensus on the 26°C and 27°C outcomes. Late-August climatology in the region typically features minimum temperatures of 24–27°C under prevailing subtropical high pressure, with limited diurnal cooling due to high humidity and urban heat effects. Current conditions show no major frontal systems or typhoon influences to produce sharper drops, keeping probabilities aligned with historical baselines from the China Meteorological Administration. Updated model runs and official station observations expected in the next 48 hours could refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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