Current forecast models from sources including timeanddate and BBC point to Shanghai overnight lows of 24–27°C on August 25, aligning with the market’s emphasis on 26°C and 27°C outcomes. Subtropical August conditions—high humidity near 80%, light southeasterly winds, and variable cloud cover—limit radiative cooling and keep minima clustered around the long-term average of 25–26°C. Recent model runs show minor divergence tied to possible scattered showers or clearer spells, which could nudge the actual low by 1°C either way. Historical data confirm this narrow band for late-August nights absent typhoon influence or strong cold advection. Traders appear to weight the central forecasts most heavily while assigning modest probability to the tails.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 25 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 25 agosto?
27°C 45%
26°C 25%
28°C 16%
24°C 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
25 ago 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
5%
24°C
10%
25°C
10%
26°C
25%
27°C
46%
28°C
16%
29°C
10%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
27°C 45%
26°C 25%
28°C 16%
24°C 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
25 ago 2026
22°C or below
$5 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$10 Vol.
5%
24°C
$10 Vol.
10%
25°C
$5 Vol.
10%
26°C
$551 Vol.
25%
27°C
$25 Vol.
46%
28°C
$7 Vol.
16%
29°C
$10 Vol.
10%
30°C
$5 Vol.
1%
31°C
$5 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including timeanddate and BBC point to Shanghai overnight lows of 24–27°C on August 25, aligning with the market’s emphasis on 26°C and 27°C outcomes. Subtropical August conditions—high humidity near 80%, light southeasterly winds, and variable cloud cover—limit radiative cooling and keep minima clustered around the long-term average of 25–26°C. Recent model runs show minor divergence tied to possible scattered showers or clearer spells, which could nudge the actual low by 1°C either way. Historical data confirm this narrow band for late-August nights absent typhoon influence or strong cold advection. Traders appear to weight the central forecasts most heavily while assigning modest probability to the tails.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$638Data di fine
25 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including timeanddate and BBC point to Shanghai overnight lows of 24–27°C on August 25, aligning with the market’s emphasis on 26°C and 27°C outcomes. Subtropical August conditions—high humidity near 80%, light southeasterly winds, and variable cloud cover—limit radiative cooling and keep minima clustered around the long-term average of 25–26°C. Recent model runs show minor divergence tied to possible scattered showers or clearer spells, which could nudge the actual low by 1°C either way. Historical data confirm this narrow band for late-August nights absent typhoon influence or strong cold advection. Traders appear to weight the central forecasts most heavily while assigning modest probability to the tails.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$638Data di fine
25 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including timeanddate and BBC point to Shanghai overnight lows of 24–27°C on August 25, aligning with the market’s emphasis on 26°C and 27°C outcomes. Subtropical August conditions—high humidity near 80%, light southeasterly winds, and variable cloud cover—limit radiative cooling and keep minima clustered around the long-term average of 25–26°C. Recent model runs show minor divergence tied to possible scattered showers or clearer spells, which could nudge the actual low by 1°C either way. Historical data confirm this narrow band for late-August nights absent typhoon influence or strong cold advection. Traders appear to weight the central forecasts most heavily while assigning modest probability to the tails.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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