Recent forecast models from sources including Yr and WindBorne project a minimum temperature of 24–25°C for Taipei on September 14, driven by typical early-autumn subtropical conditions with moderate northeast winds, high humidity near 90% overnight, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. These align with historical September averages near 24°C and show no significant cold air intrusion or clear-sky enhancement of nighttime lows. Market-implied odds peak at 25°C (35%) with strong support for 24–26°C, reflecting trader consensus on stable model runs and the absence of atypical steering patterns or intensification that could shift thresholds. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period remains the key variable that could refine these probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Taipei il 14 settembre?
26°C 40%
21°C 39%
22°C 39%
23°C 39%
20°C o inferiore
16%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
32%
25°C
35%
26°C
40%
27°C
39%
28°C
39%
29°C
17%
30°C o superiore
14%
26°C 40%
21°C 39%
22°C 39%
23°C 39%
20°C o inferiore
16%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
32%
25°C
35%
26°C
40%
27°C
39%
28°C
39%
29°C
17%
30°C o superiore
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including Yr and WindBorne project a minimum temperature of 24–25°C for Taipei on September 14, driven by typical early-autumn subtropical conditions with moderate northeast winds, high humidity near 90% overnight, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. These align with historical September averages near 24°C and show no significant cold air intrusion or clear-sky enhancement of nighttime lows. Market-implied odds peak at 25°C (35%) with strong support for 24–26°C, reflecting trader consensus on stable model runs and the absence of atypical steering patterns or intensification that could shift thresholds. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period remains the key variable that could refine these probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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