Current forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international sources indicate a Tokyo minimum temperature on August 13 most likely near 23–24°C, consistent with market-implied odds favoring those outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers expected overnight will limit radiative cooling under the dominant Pacific high-pressure system, while elevated humidity and the urban heat island effect keep surface temperatures from dropping further. Subtle differences between 23°C and 24°C hinge on the exact timing and extent of any clearing skies or wind shifts in the final model runs, with historical August climatology (normal low ~23.7°C) providing the baseline. Traders are weighting the latest ensemble guidance showing these conditions holding through the overnight period.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Tokyo il 13 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Tokyo il 13 agosto?
24°C 50%
23°C 48%
22°C 4%
21°C 2%
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 ago 2026
18°C o inferiore
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
48%
24°C
50%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C o superiore
<1%
24°C 50%
23°C 48%
22°C 4%
21°C 2%
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 ago 2026
18°C o inferiore
$111 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$115 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$97 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$153 Vol.
2%
22°C
$222 Vol.
4%
23°C
$545 Vol.
48%
24°C
$359 Vol.
50%
25°C
$162 Vol.
2%
26°C
$153 Vol.
2%
27°C
$126 Vol.
<1%
28°C o superiore
$206 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international sources indicate a Tokyo minimum temperature on August 13 most likely near 23–24°C, consistent with market-implied odds favoring those outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers expected overnight will limit radiative cooling under the dominant Pacific high-pressure system, while elevated humidity and the urban heat island effect keep surface temperatures from dropping further. Subtle differences between 23°C and 24°C hinge on the exact timing and extent of any clearing skies or wind shifts in the final model runs, with historical August climatology (normal low ~23.7°C) providing the baseline. Traders are weighting the latest ensemble guidance showing these conditions holding through the overnight period.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$2,249Data di fine
13 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international sources indicate a Tokyo minimum temperature on August 13 most likely near 23–24°C, consistent with market-implied odds favoring those outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers expected overnight will limit radiative cooling under the dominant Pacific high-pressure system, while elevated humidity and the urban heat island effect keep surface temperatures from dropping further. Subtle differences between 23°C and 24°C hinge on the exact timing and extent of any clearing skies or wind shifts in the final model runs, with historical August climatology (normal low ~23.7°C) providing the baseline. Traders are weighting the latest ensemble guidance showing these conditions holding through the overnight period.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,249Data di fine
13 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international sources indicate a Tokyo minimum temperature on August 13 most likely near 23–24°C, consistent with market-implied odds favoring those outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers expected overnight will limit radiative cooling under the dominant Pacific high-pressure system, while elevated humidity and the urban heat island effect keep surface temperatures from dropping further. Subtle differences between 23°C and 24°C hinge on the exact timing and extent of any clearing skies or wind shifts in the final model runs, with historical August climatology (normal low ~23.7°C) providing the baseline. Traders are weighting the latest ensemble guidance showing these conditions holding through the overnight period.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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