Traders have converged on a 24°C minimum for Tokyo on August 16 due to official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and consistent model guidance showing overnight lows near the long-term August average of 23–24°C under typical humid subtropical conditions. High daytime readings around 31°C and scattered showers have not produced the stronger nocturnal cooling sometimes seen with clearer skies or typhoon influences, keeping the expected minimum aligned with climatological baselines. Minor forecast adjustments could still shift the recorded low if cloud cover or wind patterns change overnight, though current observational trends and historical August data strongly support the market-implied outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Tokyo il 16 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Tokyo il 16 agosto?
24°C 100.0%
18°C o inferiore <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$17,279 Vol.
$17,279 Vol.
16 ago 2026
18°C o inferiore
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Sì
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C o superiore
No
24°C 100.0%
18°C o inferiore <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$17,279 Vol.
$17,279 Vol.
16 ago 2026
18°C o inferiore
$274 Vol.
No
19°C
$224 Vol.
No
20°C
$1,410 Vol.
No
21°C
$1,416 Vol.
No
22°C
$2,848 Vol.
No
23°C
$3,871 Vol.
No
24°C
$3,820 Vol.
Sì
25°C
$1,703 Vol.
No
26°C
$1,249 Vol.
No
27°C
$219 Vol.
No
28°C o superiore
$246 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on a 24°C minimum for Tokyo on August 16 due to official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and consistent model guidance showing overnight lows near the long-term August average of 23–24°C under typical humid subtropical conditions. High daytime readings around 31°C and scattered showers have not produced the stronger nocturnal cooling sometimes seen with clearer skies or typhoon influences, keeping the expected minimum aligned with climatological baselines. Minor forecast adjustments could still shift the recorded low if cloud cover or wind patterns change overnight, though current observational trends and historical August data strongly support the market-implied outcome.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$17,279Data di fine
16 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on a 24°C minimum for Tokyo on August 16 due to official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and consistent model guidance showing overnight lows near the long-term August average of 23–24°C under typical humid subtropical conditions. High daytime readings around 31°C and scattered showers have not produced the stronger nocturnal cooling sometimes seen with clearer skies or typhoon influences, keeping the expected minimum aligned with climatological baselines. Minor forecast adjustments could still shift the recorded low if cloud cover or wind patterns change overnight, though current observational trends and historical August data strongly support the market-implied outcome.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$17,279Data di fine
16 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Traders have converged on a 24°C minimum for Tokyo on August 16 due to official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and consistent model guidance showing overnight lows near the long-term August average of 23–24°C under typical humid subtropical conditions. High daytime readings around 31°C and scattered showers have not produced the stronger nocturnal cooling sometimes seen with clearer skies or typhoon influences, keeping the expected minimum aligned with climatological baselines. Minor forecast adjustments could still shift the recorded low if cloud cover or wind patterns change overnight, though current observational trends and historical August data strongly support the market-implied outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti