Current forecast guidance from MetService and aligned global models points to a minimum temperature of 8°C in Wellington on August 24 under a stable northwesterly regime, with clear skies and moderate winds limiting radiative cooling overnight. This aligns with climatological norms for late winter, where typical August minima hover near 7–9°C at the airport station used for resolution, and recent observations show no anomalous cold air advection or frost risk. Trader consensus at 99% for 8°C reflects the tight clustering of ensemble outputs and absence of model spread that could support 7°C or lower. A rapid shift in steering flow or unforecast cloud cover could still allow a 1–2°C deviation, though resolution criteria focus on official 24-hour minimum readings.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Wellington il 24 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Wellington il 24 agosto?
8°C 99%
9°C <1%
5°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
24 ago 2026
5°C or below
1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
1%
8°C
99%
9°C
1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
8°C 99%
9°C <1%
5°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
24 ago 2026
5°C or below
$294 Vol.
1%
6°C
$107 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$89 Vol.
1%
8°C
$218 Vol.
99%
9°C
$746 Vol.
1%
10°C
$392 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$337 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$855 Vol.
1%
13°C
$335 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$481 Vol.
<1%
15°C or higher
$150 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from MetService and aligned global models points to a minimum temperature of 8°C in Wellington on August 24 under a stable northwesterly regime, with clear skies and moderate winds limiting radiative cooling overnight. This aligns with climatological norms for late winter, where typical August minima hover near 7–9°C at the airport station used for resolution, and recent observations show no anomalous cold air advection or frost risk. Trader consensus at 99% for 8°C reflects the tight clustering of ensemble outputs and absence of model spread that could support 7°C or lower. A rapid shift in steering flow or unforecast cloud cover could still allow a 1–2°C deviation, though resolution criteria focus on official 24-hour minimum readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$4,005Data di fine
24 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from MetService and aligned global models points to a minimum temperature of 8°C in Wellington on August 24 under a stable northwesterly regime, with clear skies and moderate winds limiting radiative cooling overnight. This aligns with climatological norms for late winter, where typical August minima hover near 7–9°C at the airport station used for resolution, and recent observations show no anomalous cold air advection or frost risk. Trader consensus at 99% for 8°C reflects the tight clustering of ensemble outputs and absence of model spread that could support 7°C or lower. A rapid shift in steering flow or unforecast cloud cover could still allow a 1–2°C deviation, though resolution criteria focus on official 24-hour minimum readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,005Data di fine
24 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast guidance from MetService and aligned global models points to a minimum temperature of 8°C in Wellington on August 24 under a stable northwesterly regime, with clear skies and moderate winds limiting radiative cooling overnight. This aligns with climatological norms for late winter, where typical August minima hover near 7–9°C at the airport station used for resolution, and recent observations show no anomalous cold air advection or frost risk. Trader consensus at 99% for 8°C reflects the tight clustering of ensemble outputs and absence of model spread that could support 7°C or lower. A rapid shift in steering flow or unforecast cloud cover could still allow a 1–2°C deviation, though resolution criteria focus on official 24-hour minimum readings.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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