**Trader consensus strongly favors a 17°C minimum in Zhengzhou on September 11, 2026, reflecting near-certainty from converging forecast models and late-day observations.** Multiple meteorological sources, including regional forecasts and station data, indicate overnight lows stabilizing near 17–19°C under cloudy conditions with light winds and minimal radiative cooling. This aligns with seasonal norms for early September in Henan province, where typical minima hover around 18–20°C absent unusual cold advection. The dominant 99.6% implied probability stems from real-time updates showing temperatures already approaching or holding at these levels without further decline expected before midnight. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted sharp drop from enhanced cloud clearance or northerly flow, though current model consensus and observational trends make this improbable before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Zhengzhou l'11 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Zhengzhou l'11 settembre?
17°C 100.0%
15°C o inferiore <1%
16°C <1%
18°C <1%
$1,728 Vol.
$1,728 Vol.
11 set 2026
15°C o inferiore
No
16°C
No
17°C
Sì
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C o superiore
No
17°C 100.0%
15°C o inferiore <1%
16°C <1%
18°C <1%
$1,728 Vol.
$1,728 Vol.
11 set 2026
15°C o inferiore
$20 Vol.
No
16°C
$30 Vol.
No
17°C
$178 Vol.
Sì
18°C
$27 Vol.
No
19°C
$1,323 Vol.
No
20°C
$25 Vol.
No
21°C
$25 Vol.
No
22°C
$25 Vol.
No
23°C
$25 Vol.
No
24°C
$25 Vol.
No
25°C o superiore
$25 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 17°C minimum in Zhengzhou on September 11, 2026, reflecting near-certainty from converging forecast models and late-day observations.** Multiple meteorological sources, including regional forecasts and station data, indicate overnight lows stabilizing near 17–19°C under cloudy conditions with light winds and minimal radiative cooling. This aligns with seasonal norms for early September in Henan province, where typical minima hover around 18–20°C absent unusual cold advection. The dominant 99.6% implied probability stems from real-time updates showing temperatures already approaching or holding at these levels without further decline expected before midnight. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted sharp drop from enhanced cloud clearance or northerly flow, though current model consensus and observational trends make this improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 10, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$1,728Data di fine
11 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 17°C minimum in Zhengzhou on September 11, 2026, reflecting near-certainty from converging forecast models and late-day observations.** Multiple meteorological sources, including regional forecasts and station data, indicate overnight lows stabilizing near 17–19°C under cloudy conditions with light winds and minimal radiative cooling. This aligns with seasonal norms for early September in Henan province, where typical minima hover around 18–20°C absent unusual cold advection. The dominant 99.6% implied probability stems from real-time updates showing temperatures already approaching or holding at these levels without further decline expected before midnight. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted sharp drop from enhanced cloud clearance or northerly flow, though current model consensus and observational trends make this improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,728Data di fine
11 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
**Trader consensus strongly favors a 17°C minimum in Zhengzhou on September 11, 2026, reflecting near-certainty from converging forecast models and late-day observations.** Multiple meteorological sources, including regional forecasts and station data, indicate overnight lows stabilizing near 17–19°C under cloudy conditions with light winds and minimal radiative cooling. This aligns with seasonal norms for early September in Henan province, where typical minima hover around 18–20°C absent unusual cold advection. The dominant 99.6% implied probability stems from real-time updates showing temperatures already approaching or holding at these levels without further decline expected before midnight. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted sharp drop from enhanced cloud clearance or northerly flow, though current model consensus and observational trends make this improbable before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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