Massachusetts remains a solidly Democratic state with a long history of strong support for the party's Senate candidates, reflected in consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles and voter registration advantages. Incumbent Ed Markey holds the nomination edge over primary challenger Seth Moulton heading into the September 1 contest, while Republican contenders such as John Deaton face structural disadvantages in turnout and fundraising. Trader consensus on a Democratic general election victory aligns with these fundamentals, as Massachusetts has not elected a Republican senator since 1958. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unusually severe national Republican wave, a late primary upset producing a weaker Democratic nominee, or a high-profile scandal or health event involving the eventual nominee, though such shifts would need to overcome entrenched state-level dynamics.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni del Senato del Massachusetts
Vincitore delle elezioni del Senato del Massachusetts
$24,225 Vol.
$24,225 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratico
98%
Repubblicano
2%
$24,225 Vol.
$24,225 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratico
$18,799 Vol.
98%
Repubblicano
$5,426 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Massachusetts remains a solidly Democratic state with a long history of strong support for the party's Senate candidates, reflected in consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles and voter registration advantages. Incumbent Ed Markey holds the nomination edge over primary challenger Seth Moulton heading into the September 1 contest, while Republican contenders such as John Deaton face structural disadvantages in turnout and fundraising. Trader consensus on a Democratic general election victory aligns with these fundamentals, as Massachusetts has not elected a Republican senator since 1958. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unusually severe national Republican wave, a late primary upset producing a weaker Democratic nominee, or a high-profile scandal or health event involving the eventual nominee, though such shifts would need to overcome entrenched state-level dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Volume
$24,225Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Massachusetts remains a solidly Democratic state with a long history of strong support for the party's Senate candidates, reflected in consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles and voter registration advantages. Incumbent Ed Markey holds the nomination edge over primary challenger Seth Moulton heading into the September 1 contest, while Republican contenders such as John Deaton face structural disadvantages in turnout and fundraising. Trader consensus on a Democratic general election victory aligns with these fundamentals, as Massachusetts has not elected a Republican senator since 1958. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unusually severe national Republican wave, a late primary upset producing a weaker Democratic nominee, or a high-profile scandal or health event involving the eventual nominee, though such shifts would need to overcome entrenched state-level dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$24,225Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Massachusetts remains a solidly Democratic state with a long history of strong support for the party's Senate candidates, reflected in consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles and voter registration advantages. Incumbent Ed Markey holds the nomination edge over primary challenger Seth Moulton heading into the September 1 contest, while Republican contenders such as John Deaton face structural disadvantages in turnout and fundraising. Trader consensus on a Democratic general election victory aligns with these fundamentals, as Massachusetts has not elected a Republican senator since 1958. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unusually severe national Republican wave, a late primary upset producing a weaker Democratic nominee, or a high-profile scandal or health event involving the eventual nominee, though such shifts would need to overcome entrenched state-level dynamics.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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