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Politica·Premi

Vincitore del Premio Nobel per la Pace 2026

icon for Vincitore del Premio Nobel per la Pace 2026
Politica·Premi

Vincitore del Premio Nobel per la Pace 2026

Yulia Navalnaya 9%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy 5.5%

UNRWA 4.3%

Papa Leone XIV 3.1%

Polymarket

$23,413,425 Vol.

Yulia Navalnaya 9%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy 5.5%

UNRWA 4.3%

Papa Leone XIV 3.1%

Polymarket

$23,413,425 Vol.

icon for Yulia Navalnaya

Yulia Navalnaya

$290,615 Vol.

9%

icon for Volodymyr Zelenskyy

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

$790,612 Vol.

6%

icon for UNRWA

UNRWA

$2,044,384 Vol.

4%

icon for Papa Leone XIV

Papa Leone XIV

$813,649 Vol.

3%

icon for Corte internazionale di giustizia

Corte internazionale di giustizia

$905,046 Vol.

3%

icon for Donald Trump

Donald Trump

$4,362,275 Vol.

3%

icon for Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

$785,560 Vol.

2%

icon for Narendra Modi

Narendra Modi

$685,776 Vol.

1%

icon for Julian Assange

Julian Assange

$849,595 Vol.

1%

icon for Greta Thunberg

Greta Thunberg

$1,454,217 Vol.

1%

icon for Ahmed al-Sharaa

Ahmed al-Sharaa

$1,261,796 Vol.

1%

icon for António Guterres

António Guterres

$627,535 Vol.

1%

icon for Xi Jinping

Xi Jinping

$1,434,037 Vol.

1%

icon for Khaled Mashal

Khaled Mashal

$866,235 Vol.

1%

icon for Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

$1,053,788 Vol.

<1%

icon for Charlie Kirk

Charlie Kirk

$1,244,957 Vol.

<1%

icon for Benjamin Netanyahu

Benjamin Netanyahu

$692,496 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mohammed bin Salman

Mohammed bin Salman

$1,173,099 Vol.

<1%

icon for Elon Musk

Elon Musk

$1,173,336 Vol.

<1%

icon for Vladimir Putin

Vladimir Putin

$904,415 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.Yulia Navalnaya holds the top spot in trader sentiment for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize at an 8.5% implied probability, fueled by her high-profile role leading Russian opposition efforts after Alexei Navalny's death, though the field remains fragmented with 287 total nominations. Volodymyr Zelenskyy follows at 5.5% amid ongoing Ukraine conflict symbolism, while organizations like UNRWA sit at 4.3% reflecting institutional focus. With no dominant frontrunner and every candidate below 10%, markets highlight the prize's unpredictability, where late developments, guild-like committee deliberations, and global events could swing momentum ahead of the October 9 announcement.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Volume
$23,413,425
Data di fine
10 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.Yulia Navalnaya holds the top spot in trader sentiment for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize at an 8.5% implied probability, fueled by her high-profile role leading Russian opposition efforts after Alexei Navalny's death, though the field remains fragmented with 287 total nominations. Volodymyr Zelenskyy follows at 5.5% amid ongoing Ukraine conflict symbolism, while organizations like UNRWA sit at 4.3% reflecting institutional focus. With no dominant frontrunner and every candidate below 10%, markets highlight the prize's unpredictability, where late developments, guild-like committee deliberations, and global events could swing momentum ahead of the October 9 announcement.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Volume
$23,413,425
Data di fine
10 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

Correlati

icon for Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?

6%
icon for Trump, Putin e Zelensky si incontreranno insieme prima del 2027?

Trump, Putin e Zelensky si incontreranno insieme prima del 2027?

7%
Sì
icon for Josh Allen vincerà l’MVP NFL 2026?

Josh Allen vincerà l’MVP NFL 2026?

12%
Sì

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Vincitore del Premio Nobel per la Pace 2026" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 20 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Yulia Navalnaya" a 9%, seguito da "Volodymyr Zelenskyy" a 6%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 9¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 9% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Vincitore del Premio Nobel per la Pace 2026" ha generato $23.4 million in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Oct 16, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore del Premio Nobel per la Pace 2026", esplora i 20 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

Questo è un mercato molto aperto. L'attuale leader per "Vincitore del Premio Nobel per la Pace 2026" è "Yulia Navalnaya" a solo 9%, con "Volodymyr Zelenskyy" vicino a 6%. Con nessun esito che detiene una forte maggioranza, i trader vedono questo come altamente incerto, il che può presentare opportunità di trading uniche. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale, quindi aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per vedere come si evolvono le probabilità.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore del Premio Nobel per la Pace 2026" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.