Incumbent Rep. Nick LaLota's unopposed path in the June 23 Republican primary, combined with his dominant fundraising—over $3 million cash on hand—positions the Republican Party as trader consensus favorite at 48% in this R+4 district, where he secured 55% in 2024 amid a narrow GOP House majority. Democratic Party odds at 23% reflect a fragmented five-candidate primary led modestly by Christopher Gallant, with no clear frontrunner or recent polls shifting sentiment, as Cook Political rates the seat Solid Republican and Democrats prioritize competitive targets elsewhere. No notable developments have occurred in the past 30 days, leaving probabilities tied to primary results and midterm national trends.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera NY-01
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera NY-01
$20,232 Vol.
$20,232 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
27%
Partito Repubblicano
44%
$20,232 Vol.
$20,232 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
$13,906 Vol.
27%
Partito Repubblicano
$6,326 Vol.
44%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Nick LaLota's unopposed path in the June 23 Republican primary, combined with his dominant fundraising—over $3 million cash on hand—positions the Republican Party as trader consensus favorite at 48% in this R+4 district, where he secured 55% in 2024 amid a narrow GOP House majority. Democratic Party odds at 23% reflect a fragmented five-candidate primary led modestly by Christopher Gallant, with no clear frontrunner or recent polls shifting sentiment, as Cook Political rates the seat Solid Republican and Democrats prioritize competitive targets elsewhere. No notable developments have occurred in the past 30 days, leaving probabilities tied to primary results and midterm national trends.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volume
$20,232Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Nick LaLota's unopposed path in the June 23 Republican primary, combined with his dominant fundraising—over $3 million cash on hand—positions the Republican Party as trader consensus favorite at 48% in this R+4 district, where he secured 55% in 2024 amid a narrow GOP House majority. Democratic Party odds at 23% reflect a fragmented five-candidate primary led modestly by Christopher Gallant, with no clear frontrunner or recent polls shifting sentiment, as Cook Political rates the seat Solid Republican and Democrats prioritize competitive targets elsewhere. No notable developments have occurred in the past 30 days, leaving probabilities tied to primary results and midterm national trends.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$20,232Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Nick LaLota's unopposed path in the June 23 Republican primary, combined with his dominant fundraising—over $3 million cash on hand—positions the Republican Party as trader consensus favorite at 48% in this R+4 district, where he secured 55% in 2024 amid a narrow GOP House majority. Democratic Party odds at 23% reflect a fragmented five-candidate primary led modestly by Christopher Gallant, with no clear frontrunner or recent polls shifting sentiment, as Cook Political rates the seat Solid Republican and Democrats prioritize competitive targets elsewhere. No notable developments have occurred in the past 30 days, leaving probabilities tied to primary results and midterm national trends.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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