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Elections·Republican Primary

OK-01 Republican Primary Winner

icon for OK-01 Republican Primary Winner
Elections·Republican Primary

OK-01 Republican Primary Winner

Mark Tedford 99.4%

Jackson Lahmeyer 1.5%

Jed Cochran <1%

Nancy Dyson <1%

Polymarket

$156,102 Vol.

Mark Tedford 99.4%

Jackson Lahmeyer 1.5%

Jed Cochran <1%

Nancy Dyson <1%

Polymarket

$156,102 Vol.

Mark Tedford

$44,215 Vol.

99%

Jackson Lahmeyer

$64,967 Vol.

2%

Jed Cochran

$5,771 Vol.

<1%

Nancy Dyson

$2,893 Vol.

<1%

Paul Royse

$2,034 Vol.

<1%

Kelly B. Walsh

$2,126 Vol.

<1%

Nathan Butterfield

$7,603 Vol.

<1%

Kim David

$6,735 Vol.

<1%

Courtney Gill

$2,031 Vol.

<1%

Dan Rooney

$9,853 Vol.

<1%

Jackson Stallings

$2,555 Vol.

<1%

Todd Woods

$5,318 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Mark Tedford secured the Republican nomination for Oklahoma’s 1st Congressional District after finishing first in the June 16 primary with roughly 32% of the vote and advancing to an August runoff that was later canceled.** In a crowded field of more than ten candidates, Tedford outperformed Trump-endorsed pastor Jackson Lahmeyer (approximately 26%) and the rest of the field, including businessman Nathan Butterfield. Lahmeyer subsequently withdrew, prompting Trump to shift his endorsement to Tedford. This combination of primary results, withdrawal, and high-profile backing has produced near-unanimous trader consensus that Tedford is the nominee. The market prices reflect the effective resolution of the contest in Tedford’s favor. A reversal would require an extraordinary development such as Lahmeyer reversing his withdrawal before any formal certification or an unforeseen procedural challenge—both considered highly remote given the timeline and current dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 16, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$156,102
Data di fine
16 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 22, 2026, 1:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Mark Tedford secured the Republican nomination for Oklahoma’s 1st Congressional District after finishing first in the June 16 primary with roughly 32% of the vote and advancing to an August runoff that was later canceled.** In a crowded field of more than ten candidates, Tedford outperformed Trump-endorsed pastor Jackson Lahmeyer (approximately 26%) and the rest of the field, including businessman Nathan Butterfield. Lahmeyer subsequently withdrew, prompting Trump to shift his endorsement to Tedford. This combination of primary results, withdrawal, and high-profile backing has produced near-unanimous trader consensus that Tedford is the nominee. The market prices reflect the effective resolution of the contest in Tedford’s favor. A reversal would require an extraordinary development such as Lahmeyer reversing his withdrawal before any formal certification or an unforeseen procedural challenge—both considered highly remote given the timeline and current dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 16, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$156,102
Data di fine
16 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 22, 2026, 1:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Domande frequenti

"OK-01 Republican Primary Winner" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 12 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Mark Tedford" a 99%, seguito da "Jackson Lahmeyer" a 1%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 99¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 99% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "OK-01 Republican Primary Winner" ha generato $156.1K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Apr 22, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "OK-01 Republican Primary Winner", esplora i 12 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "OK-01 Republican Primary Winner" è "Mark Tedford" a 99%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 99% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Jackson Lahmeyer" a 1%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "OK-01 Republican Primary Winner" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.