Recent polling averages place the PSOE between 26% and 30% of the vote in the November 29 snap election, with the latest 40dB survey showing 29.9% after a modest recovery. This positioning reflects a narrowing gap with the PP amid voter transfers from the left and a slight PSOE rebound following the Urda train crash and the resignation of the transport minister. Persistent right-wing strength, combined with left-wing fragmentation between the new Broad Front coalition and a weakened Podemos, limits PSOE upside. The market’s concentration around the 26-30% range captures uncertainty over final campaign turnout, housing policy resonance, and whether recent PSOE gains hold through election day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoView resolved

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