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Politica·Elezioni Globali

Vincitore delle elezioni parlamentari svedesi

icon for Vincitore delle elezioni parlamentari svedesi
Politica·Elezioni Globali

Vincitore delle elezioni parlamentari svedesi

Partito Socialdemocratico Svedese (S) 91%

Democratici Svedesi (SD) 4.3%

Partito Moderato (M) 3.6%

Coalizione dei Cittadini (MED) <1%

Polymarket

$1,100,658 Vol.

Partito Socialdemocratico Svedese (S) 91%

Democratici Svedesi (SD) 4.3%

Partito Moderato (M) 3.6%

Coalizione dei Cittadini (MED) <1%

Polymarket

$1,100,658 Vol.

icon for Partito Socialdemocratico Svedese (S)

Partito Socialdemocratico Svedese (S)

$36,469 Vol.

91%

icon for Democratici Svedesi (SD)

Democratici Svedesi (SD)

$513,900 Vol.

4%

icon for Partito Moderato (M)

Partito Moderato (M)

$380,469 Vol.

4%

icon for Coalizione dei Cittadini (MED)

Coalizione dei Cittadini (MED)

$14,084 Vol.

1%

icon for Democratici Cristiani (KD)

Democratici Cristiani (KD)

$14,543 Vol.

<1%

icon for Partito della Sinistra (V)

Partito della Sinistra (V)

$15,128 Vol.

<1%

icon for Partito di Centro (C)

Partito di Centro (C)

$16,666 Vol.

<1%

icon for Liberali (L)

Liberali (L)

$14,829 Vol.

<1%

icon for Partito Verde (MP)

Partito Verde (MP)

$94,570 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).The Swedish Social Democratic Party's sustained lead in recent opinion polls, averaging around 33 percent as of early May 2026 and ahead of the Sweden Democrats by roughly 13 points, drives trader consensus on its strong position to win the most Riksdag seats in the September 13 general election. This reflects stable voter support for the largest party under proportional representation, with red-green bloc projections often nearing or exceeding 190 seats compared to the Tidö-aligned parties. Recent polling from Ipsos, Novus, and Demoskop shows little erosion despite government efforts on immigration and security. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include major scandals involving party leaders, unexpected economic downturns, or significant polling misses of historical magnitude, though structural factors like the four percent threshold limit smaller parties' chances.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.

If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$1,100,658
Data di fine
13 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Dec 4, 2025, 11:45 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).The Swedish Social Democratic Party's sustained lead in recent opinion polls, averaging around 33 percent as of early May 2026 and ahead of the Sweden Democrats by roughly 13 points, drives trader consensus on its strong position to win the most Riksdag seats in the September 13 general election. This reflects stable voter support for the largest party under proportional representation, with red-green bloc projections often nearing or exceeding 190 seats compared to the Tidö-aligned parties. Recent polling from Ipsos, Novus, and Demoskop shows little erosion despite government efforts on immigration and security. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include major scandals involving party leaders, unexpected economic downturns, or significant polling misses of historical magnitude, though structural factors like the four percent threshold limit smaller parties' chances.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.

If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$1,100,658
Data di fine
13 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Dec 4, 2025, 11:45 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).

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Domande frequenti

"Vincitore delle elezioni parlamentari svedesi" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 9 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Partito Socialdemocratico Svedese (S)" a 91%, seguito da "Democratici Svedesi (SD)" a 4%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 91¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 91% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Vincitore delle elezioni parlamentari svedesi" ha generato $1.1 million in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Dec 4, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore delle elezioni parlamentari svedesi", esplora i 9 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore delle elezioni parlamentari svedesi" è "Partito Socialdemocratico Svedese (S)" a 91%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 91% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Democratici Svedesi (SD)" a 4%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore delle elezioni parlamentari svedesi" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.