**Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s administration and ruling AKP have advanced discussions on drafting a new constitution, with parliamentary commissions and legal advisors actively reviewing provisions since mid-2025.** Parliament Speaker Numan Kurtulmuş stated in June 2026 that a new charter could emerge in 2026-2027, while chief legal advisor Mehmet Ucum indicated in late August that the process would likely occur under the next legislative term (29th TBMM) via a referendum requiring broad parliamentary support. The AKP-MHP alliance holds roughly 321-323 seats in the 600-member Grand National Assembly, short of the 360 needed to trigger a referendum or early elections under Article 116. Recent PKK-related legislation has aimed to build cross-party backing from the DEM Party, yet no formal referendum announcement or vote schedule has materialized by early September. These procedural and numerical hurdles, combined with emphasis on post-2028 timelines rather than immediate action, underpin trader consensus favoring no announcement this year.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato17% probabilità
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 dic 2026
17% probabilità
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a constitutional referendum in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s administration and ruling AKP have advanced discussions on drafting a new constitution, with parliamentary commissions and legal advisors actively reviewing provisions since mid-2025.** Parliament Speaker Numan Kurtulmuş stated in June 2026 that a new charter could emerge in 2026-2027, while chief legal advisor Mehmet Ucum indicated in late August that the process would likely occur under the next legislative term (29th TBMM) via a referendum requiring broad parliamentary support. The AKP-MHP alliance holds roughly 321-323 seats in the 600-member Grand National Assembly, short of the 360 needed to trigger a referendum or early elections under Article 116. Recent PKK-related legislation has aimed to build cross-party backing from the DEM Party, yet no formal referendum announcement or vote schedule has materialized by early September. These procedural and numerical hurdles, combined with emphasis on post-2028 timelines rather than immediate action, underpin trader consensus favoring no announcement this year.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a constitutional referendum in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Mar 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
Volume
$6,796Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Mar 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a constitutional referendum in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s administration and ruling AKP have advanced discussions on drafting a new constitution, with parliamentary commissions and legal advisors actively reviewing provisions since mid-2025.** Parliament Speaker Numan Kurtulmuş stated in June 2026 that a new charter could emerge in 2026-2027, while chief legal advisor Mehmet Ucum indicated in late August that the process would likely occur under the next legislative term (29th TBMM) via a referendum requiring broad parliamentary support. The AKP-MHP alliance holds roughly 321-323 seats in the 600-member Grand National Assembly, short of the 360 needed to trigger a referendum or early elections under Article 116. Recent PKK-related legislation has aimed to build cross-party backing from the DEM Party, yet no formal referendum announcement or vote schedule has materialized by early September. These procedural and numerical hurdles, combined with emphasis on post-2028 timelines rather than immediate action, underpin trader consensus favoring no announcement this year.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a constitutional referendum in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$6,796Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Mar 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...**Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s administration and ruling AKP have advanced discussions on drafting a new constitution, with parliamentary commissions and legal advisors actively reviewing provisions since mid-2025.** Parliament Speaker Numan Kurtulmuş stated in June 2026 that a new charter could emerge in 2026-2027, while chief legal advisor Mehmet Ucum indicated in late August that the process would likely occur under the next legislative term (29th TBMM) via a referendum requiring broad parliamentary support. The AKP-MHP alliance holds roughly 321-323 seats in the 600-member Grand National Assembly, short of the 360 needed to trigger a referendum or early elections under Article 116. Recent PKK-related legislation has aimed to build cross-party backing from the DEM Party, yet no formal referendum announcement or vote schedule has materialized by early September. These procedural and numerical hurdles, combined with emphasis on post-2028 timelines rather than immediate action, underpin trader consensus favoring no announcement this year.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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