Following the January 3, 2026 special operations raid where US forces briefly entered Caracas to capture Nicolás Maduro and his wife amid airstrikes on defenses, officials including Secretary of State Marco Rubio have repeatedly affirmed no further military action or ground troop deployments, emphasizing diplomatic transition to free elections. In April, over 100 US diplomats, CIA agents, and military advisors arrived to support interim government reforms and electoral safeguards, boosting Venezuela as the US's second-largest oil supplier. No developments in the past 30 days indicate re-entry risks, with focus on opposition figures like María Corina Machado and avoiding escalation amid cartel designations as terrorists. Traders watch for transition hurdles or congressional War Powers Act constraints.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$1,298,246 Vol.
31 gen 2026
30 giugno
6%
$1,298,246 Vol.
30 giugno
$213,483 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Following the January 3, 2026 special operations raid where US forces briefly entered Caracas to capture Nicolás Maduro and his wife amid airstrikes on defenses, officials including Secretary of State Marco Rubio have repeatedly affirmed no further military action or ground troop deployments, emphasizing diplomatic transition to free elections. In April, over 100 US diplomats, CIA agents, and military advisors arrived to support interim government reforms and electoral safeguards, boosting Venezuela as the US's second-largest oil supplier. No developments in the past 30 days indicate re-entry risks, with focus on opposition figures like María Corina Machado and avoiding escalation amid cartel designations as terrorists. Traders watch for transition hurdles or congressional War Powers Act constraints.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ET
Volume
$1,298,246Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Following the January 3, 2026 special operations raid where US forces briefly entered Caracas to capture Nicolás Maduro and his wife amid airstrikes on defenses, officials including Secretary of State Marco Rubio have repeatedly affirmed no further military action or ground troop deployments, emphasizing diplomatic transition to free elections. In April, over 100 US diplomats, CIA agents, and military advisors arrived to support interim government reforms and electoral safeguards, boosting Venezuela as the US's second-largest oil supplier. No developments in the past 30 days indicate re-entry risks, with focus on opposition figures like María Corina Machado and avoiding escalation amid cartel designations as terrorists. Traders watch for transition hurdles or congressional War Powers Act constraints.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,298,246Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Following the January 3, 2026 special operations raid where US forces briefly entered Caracas to capture Nicolás Maduro and his wife amid airstrikes on defenses, officials including Secretary of State Marco Rubio have repeatedly affirmed no further military action or ground troop deployments, emphasizing diplomatic transition to free elections. In April, over 100 US diplomats, CIA agents, and military advisors arrived to support interim government reforms and electoral safeguards, boosting Venezuela as the US's second-largest oil supplier. No developments in the past 30 days indicate re-entry risks, with focus on opposition figures like María Corina Machado and avoiding escalation amid cartel designations as terrorists. Traders watch for transition hurdles or congressional War Powers Act constraints.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti