Recent U.S.-China trade talks following the May 2026 Trump-Xi summit in Beijing produced commitments on agricultural purchases, rare earths, aircraft, and a new Board of Trade to explore reciprocal tariff reductions on select non-sensitive goods, yet no comprehensive tariff agreement has been finalized or announced. Existing suspensions of heightened reciprocal tariffs remain in place until November 2026, while fresh Section 301 investigations into forced labor have advanced with proposed additional duties and public comment periods extending into July. With only two weeks remaining before the June 30 resolution date, the absence of scheduled high-level meetings or breakthrough signals in the interim has reinforced trader expectations that a qualifying agreement will not materialize. Narrower outcomes, such as accelerated details from the Board of Trade or reinterpretation of prior understandings, represent the primary pathways that could still shift probabilities before the deadline.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$28,786 Vol.
$28,786 Vol.
30 giu 2026
$28,786 Vol.
$28,786 Vol.
30 giu 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent U.S.-China trade talks following the May 2026 Trump-Xi summit in Beijing produced commitments on agricultural purchases, rare earths, aircraft, and a new Board of Trade to explore reciprocal tariff reductions on select non-sensitive goods, yet no comprehensive tariff agreement has been finalized or announced. Existing suspensions of heightened reciprocal tariffs remain in place until November 2026, while fresh Section 301 investigations into forced labor have advanced with proposed additional duties and public comment periods extending into July. With only two weeks remaining before the June 30 resolution date, the absence of scheduled high-level meetings or breakthrough signals in the interim has reinforced trader expectations that a qualifying agreement will not materialize. Narrower outcomes, such as accelerated details from the Board of Trade or reinterpretation of prior understandings, represent the primary pathways that could still shift probabilities before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Mercato aperto: May 26, 2026, 6:39 PM ET
Volume
$28,786Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
May 26, 2026, 6:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent U.S.-China trade talks following the May 2026 Trump-Xi summit in Beijing produced commitments on agricultural purchases, rare earths, aircraft, and a new Board of Trade to explore reciprocal tariff reductions on select non-sensitive goods, yet no comprehensive tariff agreement has been finalized or announced. Existing suspensions of heightened reciprocal tariffs remain in place until November 2026, while fresh Section 301 investigations into forced labor have advanced with proposed additional duties and public comment periods extending into July. With only two weeks remaining before the June 30 resolution date, the absence of scheduled high-level meetings or breakthrough signals in the interim has reinforced trader expectations that a qualifying agreement will not materialize. Narrower outcomes, such as accelerated details from the Board of Trade or reinterpretation of prior understandings, represent the primary pathways that could still shift probabilities before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Volume
$28,786Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
May 26, 2026, 6:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S.-China trade talks following the May 2026 Trump-Xi summit in Beijing produced commitments on agricultural purchases, rare earths, aircraft, and a new Board of Trade to explore reciprocal tariff reductions on select non-sensitive goods, yet no comprehensive tariff agreement has been finalized or announced. Existing suspensions of heightened reciprocal tariffs remain in place until November 2026, while fresh Section 301 investigations into forced labor have advanced with proposed additional duties and public comment periods extending into July. With only two weeks remaining before the June 30 resolution date, the absence of scheduled high-level meetings or breakthrough signals in the interim has reinforced trader expectations that a qualifying agreement will not materialize. Narrower outcomes, such as accelerated details from the Board of Trade or reinterpretation of prior understandings, represent the primary pathways that could still shift probabilities before the deadline.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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