Trader consensus in this closely contested Chicago median home value market clusters around the $339k–$345k range, reflecting modest near-term appreciation amid low inventory and steady demand. Persistent supply constraints, with active listings down year-over-year, continue to support prices despite mortgage rates near 6%, while recent Zillow Home Value Index readings near $326k and Redfin median sale prices around $420k highlight methodological differences that inject uncertainty ahead of the June 30 resolution. Seasonal summer activity and any final May–June transaction data could shift implied probabilities across the narrow bins, underscoring how real-capital positioning aggregates views on housing fundamentals without guaranteeing outcomes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$342k - $345k 20%
$339k - $342k 15%
>$354k 11%
< $339k 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 giu 2026
< $339k
28%
$339k - $342k
15%
$342k - $345k
20%
$345k - $348k
9%
$348k - $351k
9%
$351k - $354k
7%
>$354k
11%
$342k - $345k 20%
$339k - $342k 15%
>$354k 11%
< $339k 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 giu 2026
< $339k
$77 Vol.
28%
$339k - $342k
$51 Vol.
15%
$342k - $345k
$258 Vol.
20%
$345k - $348k
$173 Vol.
9%
$348k - $351k
$188 Vol.
9%
$351k - $354k
$46 Vol.
7%
>$354k
$185 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)Trader consensus in this closely contested Chicago median home value market clusters around the $339k–$345k range, reflecting modest near-term appreciation amid low inventory and steady demand. Persistent supply constraints, with active listings down year-over-year, continue to support prices despite mortgage rates near 6%, while recent Zillow Home Value Index readings near $326k and Redfin median sale prices around $420k highlight methodological differences that inject uncertainty ahead of the June 30 resolution. Seasonal summer activity and any final May–June transaction data could shift implied probabilities across the narrow bins, underscoring how real-capital positioning aggregates views on housing fundamentals without guaranteeing outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)
Mercato aperto: Jun 3, 2026, 12:27 PM ET
Volume
$978Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 3, 2026, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)Trader consensus in this closely contested Chicago median home value market clusters around the $339k–$345k range, reflecting modest near-term appreciation amid low inventory and steady demand. Persistent supply constraints, with active listings down year-over-year, continue to support prices despite mortgage rates near 6%, while recent Zillow Home Value Index readings near $326k and Redfin median sale prices around $420k highlight methodological differences that inject uncertainty ahead of the June 30 resolution. Seasonal summer activity and any final May–June transaction data could shift implied probabilities across the narrow bins, underscoring how real-capital positioning aggregates views on housing fundamentals without guaranteeing outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)
Volume
$978Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 3, 2026, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus in this closely contested Chicago median home value market clusters around the $339k–$345k range, reflecting modest near-term appreciation amid low inventory and steady demand. Persistent supply constraints, with active listings down year-over-year, continue to support prices despite mortgage rates near 6%, while recent Zillow Home Value Index readings near $326k and Redfin median sale prices around $420k highlight methodological differences that inject uncertainty ahead of the June 30 resolution. Seasonal summer activity and any final May–June transaction data could shift implied probabilities across the narrow bins, underscoring how real-capital positioning aggregates views on housing fundamentals without guaranteeing outcomes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti