Elevated mortgage rates near 6.4% and only modest year-over-year home price gains of 1-2% have kept median U.S. home values in check through May 2026, with Redfin and FHFA data showing limited appreciation amid rising inventory. Trader consensus, reflected in the highest 33% implied probability on outcomes below $429,000, aligns with subdued demand and sales volumes that have not supported stronger upward momentum. The broad distribution across buckets underscores uncertainty from pending June data releases, seasonal summer demand patterns, and potential volatility in median sale prices versus typical-value indexes. Key near-term catalysts include any shifts in 30-year fixed rates or new-home sales figures due by late June.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato<429.000$ 27%
$429k - $431k 18%
$431k - $433k 15%
$433k - $435k 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 giu 2026
<429.000$
27%
$429k - $431k
18%
$431k - $433k
15%
$433k - $435k
11%
$435k - $437k
7%
$437k - $439k
5%
>$439.000
5%
<429.000$ 27%
$429k - $431k 18%
$431k - $433k 15%
$433k - $435k 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 giu 2026
<429.000$
$176 Vol.
27%
$429k - $431k
$18 Vol.
18%
$431k - $433k
$1 Vol.
15%
$433k - $435k
$1 Vol.
11%
$435k - $437k
$0 Vol.
7%
$437k - $439k
$30 Vol.
5%
>$439.000
$0 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)Elevated mortgage rates near 6.4% and only modest year-over-year home price gains of 1-2% have kept median U.S. home values in check through May 2026, with Redfin and FHFA data showing limited appreciation amid rising inventory. Trader consensus, reflected in the highest 33% implied probability on outcomes below $429,000, aligns with subdued demand and sales volumes that have not supported stronger upward momentum. The broad distribution across buckets underscores uncertainty from pending June data releases, seasonal summer demand patterns, and potential volatility in median sale prices versus typical-value indexes. Key near-term catalysts include any shifts in 30-year fixed rates or new-home sales figures due by late June.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)
Mercato aperto: Jun 2, 2026, 4:58 PM ET
Volume
$227Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 2, 2026, 4:58 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)Elevated mortgage rates near 6.4% and only modest year-over-year home price gains of 1-2% have kept median U.S. home values in check through May 2026, with Redfin and FHFA data showing limited appreciation amid rising inventory. Trader consensus, reflected in the highest 33% implied probability on outcomes below $429,000, aligns with subdued demand and sales volumes that have not supported stronger upward momentum. The broad distribution across buckets underscores uncertainty from pending June data releases, seasonal summer demand patterns, and potential volatility in median sale prices versus typical-value indexes. Key near-term catalysts include any shifts in 30-year fixed rates or new-home sales figures due by late June.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)
Volume
$227Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 2, 2026, 4:58 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elevated mortgage rates near 6.4% and only modest year-over-year home price gains of 1-2% have kept median U.S. home values in check through May 2026, with Redfin and FHFA data showing limited appreciation amid rising inventory. Trader consensus, reflected in the highest 33% implied probability on outcomes below $429,000, aligns with subdued demand and sales volumes that have not supported stronger upward momentum. The broad distribution across buckets underscores uncertainty from pending June data releases, seasonal summer demand patterns, and potential volatility in median sale prices versus typical-value indexes. Key near-term catalysts include any shifts in 30-year fixed rates or new-home sales figures due by late June.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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