Recent global temperature data through early 2026 show a continued warming trend driven by elevated greenhouse gas concentrations, positioning the year for a likely second-place finish on record as traders weigh the moderating influence of emerging La Niña conditions against the high baseline set by 2024 and 2025. Official measurements from agencies tracking sea surface temperatures and atmospheric anomalies indicate that while 2026 remains among the warmest years historically, the expected shift in the El Niño-Southern Oscillation index reduces the chance of surpassing prior peaks. Monthly updates from NOAA on global averages and refined climate model ensembles will provide critical new inputs for assessing final rankings.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoDove si collocherà il 2026 tra gli anni più caldi mai registrati?
Dove si collocherà il 2026 tra gli anni più caldi mai registrati?
2 57%
1 35%
4 2.8%
6 o inferiore 2.3%
$2,821,661 Vol.
$2,821,661 Vol.
31 dic 2026
1
35%
2
57%
3
2%
4
3%
5
1%
6 o inferiore
2%
2 57%
1 35%
4 2.8%
6 o inferiore 2.3%
$2,821,661 Vol.
$2,821,661 Vol.
31 dic 2026
1
$453,744 Vol.
35%
2
$325,828 Vol.
57%
3
$428,462 Vol.
2%
4
$416,579 Vol.
3%
5
$732,047 Vol.
1%
6 o inferiore
$465,002 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the numerical rank of how hot 2026 is when compared against all other years for which the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index has data.
Years will be ranked in descending order, starting with the hottest as number 1, the second hottest as number 2, etc.
If 2026 ties with any other year, it will resolve according to the place the year it ties with occupies.
This market will resolve immediately once the specified data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for the relevant years is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "Land-Ocean Temperature Index (C)" under the column "No_Smoothing" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for 2026 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.Recent global temperature data through early 2026 show a continued warming trend driven by elevated greenhouse gas concentrations, positioning the year for a likely second-place finish on record as traders weigh the moderating influence of emerging La Niña conditions against the high baseline set by 2024 and 2025. Official measurements from agencies tracking sea surface temperatures and atmospheric anomalies indicate that while 2026 remains among the warmest years historically, the expected shift in the El Niño-Southern Oscillation index reduces the chance of surpassing prior peaks. Monthly updates from NOAA on global averages and refined climate model ensembles will provide critical new inputs for assessing final rankings.
This market will resolve according to the numerical rank of how hot 2026 is when compared against all other years for which the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index has data.
Years will be ranked in descending order, starting with the hottest as number 1, the second hottest as number 2, etc.
If 2026 ties with any other year, it will resolve according to the place the year it ties with occupies.
This market will resolve immediately once the specified data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for the relevant years is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "Land-Ocean Temperature Index (C)" under the column "No_Smoothing" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for 2026 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Years will be ranked in descending order, starting with the hottest as number 1, the second hottest as number 2, etc.
If 2026 ties with any other year, it will resolve according to the place the year it ties with occupies.
This market will resolve immediately once the specified data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for the relevant years is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "Land-Ocean Temperature Index (C)" under the column "No_Smoothing" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for 2026 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Nov 12, 2025, 5:44 PM ET
Volume
$2,821,661Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 12, 2025, 5:44 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the numerical rank of how hot 2026 is when compared against all other years for which the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index has data.
Years will be ranked in descending order, starting with the hottest as number 1, the second hottest as number 2, etc.
If 2026 ties with any other year, it will resolve according to the place the year it ties with occupies.
This market will resolve immediately once the specified data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for the relevant years is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "Land-Ocean Temperature Index (C)" under the column "No_Smoothing" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for 2026 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.Recent global temperature data through early 2026 show a continued warming trend driven by elevated greenhouse gas concentrations, positioning the year for a likely second-place finish on record as traders weigh the moderating influence of emerging La Niña conditions against the high baseline set by 2024 and 2025. Official measurements from agencies tracking sea surface temperatures and atmospheric anomalies indicate that while 2026 remains among the warmest years historically, the expected shift in the El Niño-Southern Oscillation index reduces the chance of surpassing prior peaks. Monthly updates from NOAA on global averages and refined climate model ensembles will provide critical new inputs for assessing final rankings.
This market will resolve according to the numerical rank of how hot 2026 is when compared against all other years for which the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index has data.
Years will be ranked in descending order, starting with the hottest as number 1, the second hottest as number 2, etc.
If 2026 ties with any other year, it will resolve according to the place the year it ties with occupies.
This market will resolve immediately once the specified data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for the relevant years is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "Land-Ocean Temperature Index (C)" under the column "No_Smoothing" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for 2026 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Years will be ranked in descending order, starting with the hottest as number 1, the second hottest as number 2, etc.
If 2026 ties with any other year, it will resolve according to the place the year it ties with occupies.
This market will resolve immediately once the specified data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for the relevant years is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "Land-Ocean Temperature Index (C)" under the column "No_Smoothing" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for 2026 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$2,821,661Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 12, 2025, 5:44 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent global temperature data through early 2026 show a continued warming trend driven by elevated greenhouse gas concentrations, positioning the year for a likely second-place finish on record as traders weigh the moderating influence of emerging La Niña conditions against the high baseline set by 2024 and 2025. Official measurements from agencies tracking sea surface temperatures and atmospheric anomalies indicate that while 2026 remains among the warmest years historically, the expected shift in the El Niño-Southern Oscillation index reduces the chance of surpassing prior peaks. Monthly updates from NOAA on global averages and refined climate model ensembles will provide critical new inputs for assessing final rankings.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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