The ongoing 2026 Ebola epidemic, centered in the Democratic Republic of the Congo's Ituri Province and driven by the Bundibugyo strain, has rapidly escalated into a public health emergency of international concern since its May confirmation, with thousands of confirmed cases and high fatality rates fueling trader focus on likely affected nations. Spillover reached Uganda early, producing about 20 cases before authorities declared the outbreak over in late July following the last patient's discharge. No approved vaccine or treatment exists for this variant, and conflict plus population movement in the region complicate containment, raising the odds of further cross-border transmission via travel. With the outbreak still active into August and international screening underway, markets price in sustained risk primarily for Central and East African countries while assigning lower probabilities to distant nations absent new exported cases.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoWhich countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?
$32,211 Vol.
South Sudan
63%
Rwanda
30%
Burundi
39%
United States
21%
Canada
21%
Kenya
50%
India
12%
Republic of the Congo
21%
Nigeria
21%
Ethiopia
48%
Somalia
33%
China
17%
$32,211 Vol.
South Sudan
63%
Rwanda
30%
Burundi
39%
United States
21%
Canada
21%
Kenya
50%
India
12%
Republic of the Congo
21%
Nigeria
21%
Ethiopia
48%
Somalia
33%
China
17%
Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Mercato aperto: May 22, 2026, 12:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The ongoing 2026 Ebola epidemic, centered in the Democratic Republic of the Congo's Ituri Province and driven by the Bundibugyo strain, has rapidly escalated into a public health emergency of international concern since its May confirmation, with thousands of confirmed cases and high fatality rates fueling trader focus on likely affected nations. Spillover reached Uganda early, producing about 20 cases before authorities declared the outbreak over in late July following the last patient's discharge. No approved vaccine or treatment exists for this variant, and conflict plus population movement in the region complicate containment, raising the odds of further cross-border transmission via travel. With the outbreak still active into August and international screening underway, markets price in sustained risk primarily for Central and East African countries while assigning lower probabilities to distant nations absent new exported cases.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato



Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti