Recent polling after the September 8 party-list deadline shows a tight contest between the pro-Netanyahu bloc and the Zionist opposition led by Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar and Naftali Bennett’s B’Yachad, with neither side consistently reaching a 61-seat majority in the 120-seat Knesset. Volatility centers on smaller parties hovering near the 3.25% electoral threshold, including Ofer Winter’s new People of Israel list, Religious Zionism-Zehut, and the Reservists-Economy slate; their ability to secure seats directly affects bloc totals and coalition arithmetic. Surplus-vote agreements finalized in early September between pairs such as Yashar-The Democrats and Together-Yisrael Beytenu are expected to influence the final allocation of remainder seats. With elections set for October 27 and undecided voters declining, traders are focused on threshold clearance by marginal lists and any late shifts in support for established parties like Likud, Shas, UTJ, Otzma Yehudit, and the Arab lists.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNUOVO
30 nov 2026
RZP-Zehut
89%
Ra'am
86%
Amcha Yisrael
49%
Blue & White
30%
I riservisti e il Nuovo Partito Economico
54%
$1,233 Vol.
RZP-Zehut
$807 Vol.
89%
Ra'am
$83 Vol.
86%
Amcha Yisrael
$30 Vol.
49%
Blue & White
$248 Vol.
30%
I riservisti e il Nuovo Partito Economico
$65 Vol.
54%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. A candidate list must clear an electoral threshold of 3.25% of valid votes in order to win any seats in the Knesset.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling after the September 8 party-list deadline shows a tight contest between the pro-Netanyahu bloc and the Zionist opposition led by Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar and Naftali Bennett’s B’Yachad, with neither side consistently reaching a 61-seat majority in the 120-seat Knesset. Volatility centers on smaller parties hovering near the 3.25% electoral threshold, including Ofer Winter’s new People of Israel list, Religious Zionism-Zehut, and the Reservists-Economy slate; their ability to secure seats directly affects bloc totals and coalition arithmetic. Surplus-vote agreements finalized in early September between pairs such as Yashar-The Democrats and Together-Yisrael Beytenu are expected to influence the final allocation of remainder seats. With elections set for October 27 and undecided voters declining, traders are focused on threshold clearance by marginal lists and any late shifts in support for established parties like Likud, Shas, UTJ, Otzma Yehudit, and the Arab lists.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. A candidate list must clear an electoral threshold of 3.25% of valid votes in order to win any seats in the Knesset.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Mercato aperto: Sep 9, 2026, 5:30 PM ET
Volume
$1,233Data di fine
27 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 9, 2026, 5:30 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. A candidate list must clear an electoral threshold of 3.25% of valid votes in order to win any seats in the Knesset.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling after the September 8 party-list deadline shows a tight contest between the pro-Netanyahu bloc and the Zionist opposition led by Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar and Naftali Bennett’s B’Yachad, with neither side consistently reaching a 61-seat majority in the 120-seat Knesset. Volatility centers on smaller parties hovering near the 3.25% electoral threshold, including Ofer Winter’s new People of Israel list, Religious Zionism-Zehut, and the Reservists-Economy slate; their ability to secure seats directly affects bloc totals and coalition arithmetic. Surplus-vote agreements finalized in early September between pairs such as Yashar-The Democrats and Together-Yisrael Beytenu are expected to influence the final allocation of remainder seats. With elections set for October 27 and undecided voters declining, traders are focused on threshold clearance by marginal lists and any late shifts in support for established parties like Likud, Shas, UTJ, Otzma Yehudit, and the Arab lists.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. A candidate list must clear an electoral threshold of 3.25% of valid votes in order to win any seats in the Knesset.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volume
$1,233Data di fine
27 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 9, 2026, 5:30 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...Recent polling after the September 8 party-list deadline shows a tight contest between the pro-Netanyahu bloc and the Zionist opposition led by Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar and Naftali Bennett’s B’Yachad, with neither side consistently reaching a 61-seat majority in the 120-seat Knesset. Volatility centers on smaller parties hovering near the 3.25% electoral threshold, including Ofer Winter’s new People of Israel list, Religious Zionism-Zehut, and the Reservists-Economy slate; their ability to secure seats directly affects bloc totals and coalition arithmetic. Surplus-vote agreements finalized in early September between pairs such as Yashar-The Democrats and Together-Yisrael Beytenu are expected to influence the final allocation of remainder seats. With elections set for October 27 and undecided voters declining, traders are focused on threshold clearance by marginal lists and any late shifts in support for established parties like Likud, Shas, UTJ, Otzma Yehudit, and the Arab lists.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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