**Trader consensus on a 26% chance of a female winner in 2028 reflects the early dominance of male frontrunners in both parties and lingering questions about general-election viability.** Vice President JD Vance leads Republican primary polling and prediction markets by wide margins, with other likely contenders such as Marco Rubio also male. On the Democratic side, the field remains fluid ahead of the 2026 midterms, featuring prominent women including Kamala Harris and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez alongside men like Gavin Newsom and Pete Buttigieg; however, Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer’s decision not to run and past losses by female nominees have fueled internal discussions about electability. Prediction markets price a female Democratic nominee at roughly 28%, indicating traders see additional hurdles in the general election. No major candidate has formally declared, leaving room for shifts, but the current structure favors male nominees.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
26% probabilità
$13,151 Vol.
$13,151 Vol.
6 nov 2028
Sì
26% probabilità
$13,151 Vol.
$13,151 Vol.
6 nov 2028
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.**Trader consensus on a 26% chance of a female winner in 2028 reflects the early dominance of male frontrunners in both parties and lingering questions about general-election viability.** Vice President JD Vance leads Republican primary polling and prediction markets by wide margins, with other likely contenders such as Marco Rubio also male. On the Democratic side, the field remains fluid ahead of the 2026 midterms, featuring prominent women including Kamala Harris and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez alongside men like Gavin Newsom and Pete Buttigieg; however, Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer’s decision not to run and past losses by female nominees have fueled internal discussions about electability. Prediction markets price a female Democratic nominee at roughly 28%, indicating traders see additional hurdles in the general election. No major candidate has formally declared, leaving room for shifts, but the current structure favors male nominees.
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Mercato aperto: Feb 17, 2026, 5:41 PM ET
Volume
$13,151Data di fine
7 nov 2028Mercato aperto
Feb 17, 2026, 5:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.**Trader consensus on a 26% chance of a female winner in 2028 reflects the early dominance of male frontrunners in both parties and lingering questions about general-election viability.** Vice President JD Vance leads Republican primary polling and prediction markets by wide margins, with other likely contenders such as Marco Rubio also male. On the Democratic side, the field remains fluid ahead of the 2026 midterms, featuring prominent women including Kamala Harris and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez alongside men like Gavin Newsom and Pete Buttigieg; however, Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer’s decision not to run and past losses by female nominees have fueled internal discussions about electability. Prediction markets price a female Democratic nominee at roughly 28%, indicating traders see additional hurdles in the general election. No major candidate has formally declared, leaving room for shifts, but the current structure favors male nominees.
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Volume
$13,151Data di fine
7 nov 2028Mercato aperto
Feb 17, 2026, 5:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Trader consensus on a 26% chance of a female winner in 2028 reflects the early dominance of male frontrunners in both parties and lingering questions about general-election viability.** Vice President JD Vance leads Republican primary polling and prediction markets by wide margins, with other likely contenders such as Marco Rubio also male. On the Democratic side, the field remains fluid ahead of the 2026 midterms, featuring prominent women including Kamala Harris and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez alongside men like Gavin Newsom and Pete Buttigieg; however, Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer’s decision not to run and past losses by female nominees have fueled internal discussions about electability. Prediction markets price a female Democratic nominee at roughly 28%, indicating traders see additional hurdles in the general election. No major candidate has formally declared, leaving room for shifts, but the current structure favors male nominees.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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