Early positioning for the 2028 presidential election shows male candidates holding frontrunner status in both parties, with Republican figures such as JD Vance and Marco Rubio leading early speculation and Democratic polling favoring Kamala Harris alongside men like Gavin Newsom and Pete Buttigieg. Trader consensus at 74% against a woman winning reflects the wide-open Democratic primary dynamics, where general-election electability concerns persist after 2024, alongside Republican field strength and historical patterns of major-party nominations. Recent national surveys through mid-2026 and related prediction markets reinforce this view by assigning limited support to other female contenders such as Gretchen Whitmer or Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez relative to top male options.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
26% probabilità
$13,151 Vol.
$13,151 Vol.
6 nov 2028
Sì
26% probabilità
$13,151 Vol.
$13,151 Vol.
6 nov 2028
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.Early positioning for the 2028 presidential election shows male candidates holding frontrunner status in both parties, with Republican figures such as JD Vance and Marco Rubio leading early speculation and Democratic polling favoring Kamala Harris alongside men like Gavin Newsom and Pete Buttigieg. Trader consensus at 74% against a woman winning reflects the wide-open Democratic primary dynamics, where general-election electability concerns persist after 2024, alongside Republican field strength and historical patterns of major-party nominations. Recent national surveys through mid-2026 and related prediction markets reinforce this view by assigning limited support to other female contenders such as Gretchen Whitmer or Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez relative to top male options.
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Mercato aperto: Feb 17, 2026, 5:41 PM ET
Volume
$13,151Data di fine
7 nov 2028Mercato aperto
Feb 17, 2026, 5:41 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.Early positioning for the 2028 presidential election shows male candidates holding frontrunner status in both parties, with Republican figures such as JD Vance and Marco Rubio leading early speculation and Democratic polling favoring Kamala Harris alongside men like Gavin Newsom and Pete Buttigieg. Trader consensus at 74% against a woman winning reflects the wide-open Democratic primary dynamics, where general-election electability concerns persist after 2024, alongside Republican field strength and historical patterns of major-party nominations. Recent national surveys through mid-2026 and related prediction markets reinforce this view by assigning limited support to other female contenders such as Gretchen Whitmer or Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez relative to top male options.
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Volume
$13,151Data di fine
7 nov 2028Mercato aperto
Feb 17, 2026, 5:41 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...Early positioning for the 2028 presidential election shows male candidates holding frontrunner status in both parties, with Republican figures such as JD Vance and Marco Rubio leading early speculation and Democratic polling favoring Kamala Harris alongside men like Gavin Newsom and Pete Buttigieg. Trader consensus at 74% against a woman winning reflects the wide-open Democratic primary dynamics, where general-election electability concerns persist after 2024, alongside Republican field strength and historical patterns of major-party nominations. Recent national surveys through mid-2026 and related prediction markets reinforce this view by assigning limited support to other female contenders such as Gretchen Whitmer or Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez relative to top male options.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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