**The Wisconsin Democratic primary for governor on August 11 remains a tight three-way contest among Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez, state Rep. Francesca Hong, and former Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes, with the other seven candidates polling in single digits or lower.** Rodriguez holds a modest lead in recent trader pricing after topping a WisPolitics straw poll of nearly 600 delegates and guests at the state Democratic convention (27.5% to Hong’s 23.1%), reflecting activist support for her emphasis on general-election viability. Earlier statewide polling had shown Barnes ahead, followed by Hong and Rodriguez, underscoring the race’s fluidity and the classic tension between base mobilization and broader appeal in an open-seat contest to replace Gov. Tony Evers. With the July 28 debate and primary filing now complete, the market reflects uncertainty over which candidate can consolidate support and fundraising momentum in the final weeks. Late shifts in polling, endorsements, or turnout among key voting blocs could quickly reorder the field.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoFrancesca Hong 62.1%
Mandela Barnes 24%
Sara Rodriguez 12%
Kelda Roys <1%
$139,124 Vol.
$139,124 Vol.
Francesca Hong
62%
Mandela Barnes
24%
Sara Rodriguez
12%
Kelda Roys
1%
Joel Brennan
<1%
David Crowley
<1%
Missy Hughes
<1%
Chris Larson
<1%
Brett Hulsey
<1%
Zachary Roper
<1%
Tim Jacobson
<1%
Melissa Agard
<1%
Tom Nelson
<1%
Francesca Hong 62.1%
Mandela Barnes 24%
Sara Rodriguez 12%
Kelda Roys <1%
$139,124 Vol.
$139,124 Vol.
Francesca Hong
62%
Mandela Barnes
24%
Sara Rodriguez
12%
Kelda Roys
1%
Joel Brennan
<1%
David Crowley
<1%
Missy Hughes
<1%
Chris Larson
<1%
Brett Hulsey
<1%
Zachary Roper
<1%
Tim Jacobson
<1%
Melissa Agard
<1%
Tom Nelson
<1%
If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercato aperto: Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...**The Wisconsin Democratic primary for governor on August 11 remains a tight three-way contest among Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez, state Rep. Francesca Hong, and former Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes, with the other seven candidates polling in single digits or lower.** Rodriguez holds a modest lead in recent trader pricing after topping a WisPolitics straw poll of nearly 600 delegates and guests at the state Democratic convention (27.5% to Hong’s 23.1%), reflecting activist support for her emphasis on general-election viability. Earlier statewide polling had shown Barnes ahead, followed by Hong and Rodriguez, underscoring the race’s fluidity and the classic tension between base mobilization and broader appeal in an open-seat contest to replace Gov. Tony Evers. With the July 28 debate and primary filing now complete, the market reflects uncertainty over which candidate can consolidate support and fundraising momentum in the final weeks. Late shifts in polling, endorsements, or turnout among key voting blocs could quickly reorder the field.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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