**Édouard Philippe leads the market at 68.5% due to his stronger and more consistent polling position within France’s fragmented centrist bloc ahead of the April 2027 presidential election.** As the declared Horizons candidate and former prime minister (2017–2020), he benefits from greater name recognition, established networks on the center-right, and repeated first-round survey leads over Gabriel Attal (typically 14–21% vs. Attal’s 6–18% in multi-candidate scenarios from recent Ifop, Harris Interactive, and OpinionWay polls). Attal, the Renaissance secretary general and 2024 prime minister who formally launched his bid in May 2026, trails despite active campaigning, a focus on renewal, and efforts to distance himself from the Macron record. The two share near-identical positions on most economic and policy issues, with only minor differences (such as education reforms), yet their parallel candidacies split centrist votes and reduce each contender’s chances of reaching a runoff against frontrunners from the Rassemblement National or La France Insoumise. Traders appear to price Philippe’s edge in experience, broader appeal to right-leaning centrists, and attempts at wider rassemblement as decisive factors one year out.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日エドゥアール・フィリップ 70%
ガブリエル・アタル 17.4%
両方 13%
どちらも載らない <1%
新規
新規
2027/04/17
エドゥアール・フィリップ
70%
ガブリエル・アタル
17%
両方
13%
どちらも載らない
<1%
エドゥアール・フィリップ 70%
ガブリエル・アタル 17.4%
両方 13%
どちらも載らない <1%
新規
新規
2027/04/17
エドゥアール・フィリップ
$2,202 Vol.
70%
ガブリエル・アタル
$1,459 Vol.
17%
両方
$1,474 Vol.
13%
どちらも載らない
$649 Vol.
<1%
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.
This market will resolve according to which of Gabriel Attal and Édouard Philippe are included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. If Gabriel Attal is included and Édouard Philippe is not, this market will resolve to “Gabriel Attal”. If Édouard Philippe is included and Gabriel Attal is not, this market will resolve to “Édouard Philippe”. If both are included, this market will resolve to “Both”. If neither is included, this market will resolve to “Neither”.
If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Neither”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Édouard Philippe leads the market at 68.5% due to his stronger and more consistent polling position within France’s fragmented centrist bloc ahead of the April 2027 presidential election.** As the declared Horizons candidate and former prime minister (2017–2020), he benefits from greater name recognition, established networks on the center-right, and repeated first-round survey leads over Gabriel Attal (typically 14–21% vs. Attal’s 6–18% in multi-candidate scenarios from recent Ifop, Harris Interactive, and OpinionWay polls).
Attal, the Renaissance secretary general and 2024 prime minister who formally launched his bid in May 2026, trails despite active campaigning, a focus on renewal, and efforts to distance himself from the Macron record. The two share near-identical positions on most economic and policy issues, with only minor differences (such as education reforms), yet their parallel candidacies split centrist votes and reduce each contender’s chances of reaching a runoff against frontrunners from the Rassemblement National or La France Insoumise. Traders appear to price Philippe’s edge in experience, broader appeal to right-leaning centrists, and attempts at wider rassemblement as decisive factors one year out.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.
This market will resolve according to which of Gabriel Attal and Édouard Philippe are included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. If Gabriel Attal is included and Édouard Philippe is not, this market will resolve to “Gabriel Attal”. If Édouard Philippe is included and Gabriel Attal is not, this market will resolve to “Édouard Philippe”. If both are included, this market will resolve to “Both”. If neither is included, this market will resolve to “Neither”.
If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Neither”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to which of Gabriel Attal and Édouard Philippe are included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. If Gabriel Attal is included and Édouard Philippe is not, this market will resolve to “Gabriel Attal”. If Édouard Philippe is included and Gabriel Attal is not, this market will resolve to “Édouard Philippe”. If both are included, this market will resolve to “Both”. If neither is included, this market will resolve to “Neither”.
If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Neither”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Sep 1, 2026, 8:38 PM ET
音量
$5,741終了日
2027/04/18マーケット開始日
Sep 1, 2026, 8:38 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.
This market will resolve according to which of Gabriel Attal and Édouard Philippe are included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. If Gabriel Attal is included and Édouard Philippe is not, this market will resolve to “Gabriel Attal”. If Édouard Philippe is included and Gabriel Attal is not, this market will resolve to “Édouard Philippe”. If both are included, this market will resolve to “Both”. If neither is included, this market will resolve to “Neither”.
If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Neither”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Édouard Philippe leads the market at 68.5% due to his stronger and more consistent polling position within France’s fragmented centrist bloc ahead of the April 2027 presidential election.** As the declared Horizons candidate and former prime minister (2017–2020), he benefits from greater name recognition, established networks on the center-right, and repeated first-round survey leads over Gabriel Attal (typically 14–21% vs. Attal’s 6–18% in multi-candidate scenarios from recent Ifop, Harris Interactive, and OpinionWay polls).
Attal, the Renaissance secretary general and 2024 prime minister who formally launched his bid in May 2026, trails despite active campaigning, a focus on renewal, and efforts to distance himself from the Macron record. The two share near-identical positions on most economic and policy issues, with only minor differences (such as education reforms), yet their parallel candidacies split centrist votes and reduce each contender’s chances of reaching a runoff against frontrunners from the Rassemblement National or La France Insoumise. Traders appear to price Philippe’s edge in experience, broader appeal to right-leaning centrists, and attempts at wider rassemblement as decisive factors one year out.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.
This market will resolve according to which of Gabriel Attal and Édouard Philippe are included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. If Gabriel Attal is included and Édouard Philippe is not, this market will resolve to “Gabriel Attal”. If Édouard Philippe is included and Gabriel Attal is not, this market will resolve to “Édouard Philippe”. If both are included, this market will resolve to “Both”. If neither is included, this market will resolve to “Neither”.
If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Neither”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to which of Gabriel Attal and Édouard Philippe are included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. If Gabriel Attal is included and Édouard Philippe is not, this market will resolve to “Gabriel Attal”. If Édouard Philippe is included and Gabriel Attal is not, this market will resolve to “Édouard Philippe”. If both are included, this market will resolve to “Both”. If neither is included, this market will resolve to “Neither”.
If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Neither”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$5,741終了日
2027/04/18マーケット開始日
Sep 1, 2026, 8:38 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...**Édouard Philippe leads the market at 68.5% due to his stronger and more consistent polling position within France’s fragmented centrist bloc ahead of the April 2027 presidential election.** As the declared Horizons candidate and former prime minister (2017–2020), he benefits from greater name recognition, established networks on the center-right, and repeated first-round survey leads over Gabriel Attal (typically 14–21% vs. Attal’s 6–18% in multi-candidate scenarios from recent Ifop, Harris Interactive, and OpinionWay polls). Attal, the Renaissance secretary general and 2024 prime minister who formally launched his bid in May 2026, trails despite active campaigning, a focus on renewal, and efforts to distance himself from the Macron record. The two share near-identical positions on most economic and policy issues, with only minor differences (such as education reforms), yet their parallel candidacies split centrist votes and reduce each contender’s chances of reaching a runoff against frontrunners from the Rassemblement National or La France Insoumise. Traders appear to price Philippe’s edge in experience, broader appeal to right-leaning centrists, and attempts at wider rassemblement as decisive factors one year out.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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